In this study, a new technique is proposed to forecast short-term electrical load. Load forecasting is an integral part of power system planning and operation. Precise forecasting of load is essential for unit commitment, capacity planning, network augmentation and demand side management. Load forecasting can be generally categorized into three classes such as short-term, midterm and long-term. Short-term forecasting is usually done to predict load for next few hours to few weeks. In the literature, various methodologies such as regression analysis, machine learning approaches, deep learning methods and artificial intelligence systems have been used for short-term load forecasting. However, existing techniques may not always provide higher accuracy in short-term load forecasting. To overcome this challenge, a new approach is proposed in this paper for short-term load forecasting. The developed method is based on the integration of convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) network. The method is applied to Bangladesh power system to provide short-term forecasting of electrical load. Also, the effectiveness of the proposed technique is validated by comparing the forecasting errors with that of some existing approaches such as long short-term memory network, radial basis function network and extreme gradient boosting algorithm. It is found that the proposed strategy results in higher precision and accuracy in short-term load forecasting.

Over the last decade, many power systems have significantly changed with the proliferation of renewable generation sources, such as wind and solar photovoltaic. Due to their variability and nonsynchronous nature, new challenges and complexities have emerged regarding operational security of modern power systems. The 2016 South Australia (SA) blackout was the first known blackout due to such a high renewable situation. An official report has recently been published to review the causes and provide the corresponding recommendations for improvement of network operation, control, and security. However, there are still a number of critical issues and debates which remain unsolved, such as network bottleneck identification, overvoltage explanation, pole slip concern, frequency dip mystery, and frequency/voltage instability debate. In this paper, based on the reconstruction of the event, these unsettled issues are prudently analyzed to unveil their root causes. In addition, an innovative scheme is proposed to prevent the blackout by identifying the network separation at an early stage. This research will not only further advance the understanding of the 2016 SA blackout, but also will provide valuable guidelines for the management of future renewable-rich networks.

This paper proposes a peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading scheme that can help a centralized power system to reduce the total electricity demand of its customers at the peak hour. To do so, a cooperative Stackelberg game is formulated, in which the centralized power system acts as the leader that needs to decide on a price at the peak demand period to incentivize prosumers to not seek any energy from it. The prosumers, on the other hand, act as followers and respond to the leader’s decision by forming suitable coalitions with neighboring prosumers in order to participate in P2P energy trading to meet their energy demand. The properties of the proposed Stackelberg game are studied. It is shown that the game has a unique and stable Stackelberg equilibrium, as a result of the stability of prosumers’ coalitions. At the equilibrium, the leader chooses its strategy using a derived closed-form expression, while the prosumers choose their equilibrium coalition structure. An algorithm is proposed that enables the centralized power system and the prosumers to reach the equilibrium solution. Numerical case studies demonstrate the beneficial properties of the proposed scheme.

System strength (also known as short-circuit performance) indicates the capability of a power system to recover a fault. Renewable energy integration in power grids causes replacement and retirement of synchronous generators from generation fleet, which tends to reduce system strength. As such, a predefined number of synchronous generators are intentionally kept online to ensure adequate system strength in some power systems (e.g. South Australia). It results in the curtailment of wind power which eventually introduces financial concerns. To mitigate this issue, synchronous condensers can be a worthwhile choice. These devices contribute to fault level and provide voltage support to enhance system strength. Since synchronous condensers are costly, the best strategy for their allocation is a major query to investigate. To address this concern, this paper proposes an optimisation algorithm to allocate synchronous condensers to enhance system strength in a wind dominated power system by taking into account the long-term economic profitability of synchronous condensers installation. System strength calculations are based on Time Domain Dynamic Simulations with dynamic models which include current saturation limit of power electronics converters of wind farms. The proposed optimisation algorithm provides the most technically as well as economically viable solution to enhance system strength by utilising synchronous condensers.

This paper aims to develop an evolutionary deep learning based hybrid data driven approach for short term load forecasting (STLF) in the context of Bangladesh. With the lapse of time, the power system is getting complex. Penetration of intermittent renewable energy (RE) into the grid, changing prosumer load pattern with the need of demand side management (DSM) has thrown a challenge for dynamic power system operation and control. Load forecasting plays a significant role in this dynamic operation and control. In addition, it directly affects the future planning of network expansion, unit commitment and economic energy mix for power market. Day ahead short-term forecasting is very crucial for day to day operation. As such, various conventional and modified methods have been used over time for short-term prediction. Nevertheless, the existing approaches like age old statistical methods, artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL) techniques alone cannot provide effective accuracy all the time. Hence, an integrated genetic algorithm (GA)-bidirectional gated recurrent unit (Bi-GRU) hybrid data driven technique (GA-BiGRU) is proposed in this work. The developed method is validated in Bangladesh power system (BPS) network by providing day ahead forecasting of electrical load of the whole country. Besides, the performance of the prediction model is compared with some existing approaches such as long short-term memory network (LSTM), gated recurrent unit (GRU) and integrated genetic algorithm-gated recurrent unit (GA-GRU) in terms of mean absolute performance error (MAPE) and root mean squared error (RMSE). The outcome gives an indication of better forecasting accuracy of proposed GA-BiGRU evolutionary DL technique compared to others.