Aggregates (sand, gravel, crushed stone) make up half of all globally extracted materials and present substantial environmental challenges. China, which consumes half of the world's aggregates, is undergoing profound shifts in both supply and demand. Our scenario-based model tracks aggregate flows and stocks across 30 end-uses in Chinese provinces from 1978 to 2050. We find that China's aggregate demand peaked around 2015, accompanied by a gradual and continuous shift from natural to manufactured aggregates. Total demand after 2030 is projected to decline to ~50% of 2020 levels in circular economy scenarios. Per capita stocks tend to saturate by 2040, although saturation timing varies across provinces. Stock saturation may lead to increased availability of recycled aggregates, which could become a primary supply source. We highlight the critical need for stricter policies and regulations for the aggregate industry, offering insights for other economies facing similar challenges. Earth's crust consists of a solid lithosphere layer, varying between 60 and 120 kilometers thick, where rocks weather into sand, gravel, and stone. These substances, known as aggregates, are used extensively in construction and are the most extracted materials worldwide 1. In 2019, global material extraction reached about 95.2 billion tons (Gt), with aggregates making up over half 2,3. Around 1.1 trillion tons of nonmetallic minerals were extracted globally for construction between 1970 and 2019. That is equivalent to stripping a 3-4 mm layer from Earth's entire land surface (see Supplementary Notes for calculation). In recent years, particularly after 2010, China consumed around half of the total extracted global aggregates. Each cubic meter of concrete used in China typically contains 1.8 tons of aggregates 4. Building one square meter of a building requires 1.2 tons of aggregates 4. For roads, between 4000 and 30,000 tons are needed per kilometer, and for high-speed rail, about 70,000-120,000 tons per kilometer 4. Aggregates are the backbone of buildings and infrastructure, and as cities expand and global infrastructure grows, our dependence on these materials has reached unprecedented levels 5 .