Valdeci José José Costa

Dr. Valdeci José José Costa


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

11Years (2016-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 September 2020 in Journal of Environmental Management
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MNMarcos Felipe Nicoletti
Marcos Felipe Nicoletti
Samuel de P. C. e CarvalhoSamuel de P. C. e Carvalho
Samuel de P. C. e Carvalho
SMSebastião Do Amaral Machado
Sebastião Do Amaral Machado
VCValdeci José José Costa
Valdeci José José Costa
Carlos Alberto SilvaCarlos Alberto Silva
Carlos Alberto Silva
LTLarissa Regina Topanotti
Larissa Regina Topanotti

28 April 2016 in Environmental Progress & Sustainable Energy
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
VCValdeci José José Costa
Valdeci José José Costa
RVRicardo Mancilio Vieira
Ricardo Mancilio Vieira
SGSandy Bernardi Falcadi Tedesco Girotto
Sandy Bernardi Falcadi Tedesco Girotto
FSFLÁVIO JOSÉ SIMIONI
FLÁVIO JOSÉ SIMIONI

28 October 2025 in Research Square
Verified
Preprint
Open access
PDF file
Rafael Ninno MunizRafael Ninno Muniz
Rafael Ninno Muniz
WBWilliam Gouvêa Buratto
William Gouvêa Buratto
Gabriel Villarrubia GonzálezGabriel Villarrubia González
Gabriel Villarrubia González
Laio Oriel SemanLaio Oriel Seman
Laio Oriel Seman
VCValdeci José José Costa
Valdeci José José Costa
ANAdemir Nied
Ademir Nied
Accurate forecasting of reservoir levels in hydroelectric power plants is essential for efficient energy generation, operational safety, and sustainable water management. This study proposes a hybrid forecasting framework that integrates Seasonal-Trend Decomposition using Loess (STL) with the Neural Hierarchical Interpolation Time Series (NHITS) model optimized through Multi-Agent Hyperparameter Optimization (HPO). The STL filter is employed to remove high-frequency noise and preserve underlying signal trends, enhancing the quality of inputs for the predictive model. The NHITS architecture leverages hierarchical multi-scale processing and interpolation-based reconstruction to capture both short- and long-term temporal dependencies, while the Multi-Agent HPO framework ensures optimal hyperparameter configuration through cooperative agent-based exploration. The proposed method was evaluated using turbine flow data from the Santo Antônio Hydroelectric Power Plant in Brazil, achieving superior performance compared to state-of-the-art benchmarks, including transformer-based and recurrent models, across very short- and short-term forecasting horizons. The model demonstrated substantial reductions in RMSE, MAE, MAPE, and MSLE, while maintaining competitive inference times. The results confirm that the STL–NHITS architecture optimized via Multi-Agent HPO offers an efficient, robust, and interpretable solution for hydropower forecasting, providing a valuable tool for intelligent management of renewable energy systems.