The accurate calculation of mining-induced surface deformation has important guiding significance for efficient and safe production in mining areas. The probability integral method (PIM) is a main prediction method in China, and the selection of its parameters is directly related to the prediction accuracy of surface deformation in mining areas. To overcome shortcomings of PIM and other methods, this paper proposed a prediction model of the parameters of PIM combining a multiple regression model and an extreme learning machine. In this paper, the Huainan mining area was selected as the research object, the influence factors of PIM parameters were analyzed and the accuracy of the model was verified. The influence of the number of hidden layer nodes, the selection of activation function and the proportion of training set and test set in the model were analyzed. The conclusions suggest that the PIM parameters calculated in this paper could be used to predict mining subsidence and obtain surface movement and deformation data. The research results provide an effective method for the selection of surface deformation prediction parameters of new working faces or faces lacking measured data.
Traditional landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA) methods typically adopt a global modeling strategy, which struggles to account for the pronounced spatial heterogeneity arising from variations in topography, geology, and vegetation conditions within a region. Furthermore, model predictive performance is often undermined by feature redundancy. To address these limitations, this study focuses on the landslide disaster early-warning demonstration area in Honghe Prefecture, Yunnan Province. It proposes an ensemble learning model termed heterogeneity feature optimized stacking (HF-stacking), which integrates spatial heterogeneity partitioning (SHP) with feature selection to improve the scientific rigor of LSA. This method initially establishes an LSA system comprising 15 static landslide conditioning factors (LCFs) and two dynamic factors representing the average annual deformation rates derived from interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) technology. Based on landslide inventory data, an SHP method combining t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE) and iterative self-organizing (ISO) clustering was developed to divide the study area into subregions. Within each subregion, a tailored feature selection strategy was applied to determine the optimal feature subset. The final LSA was performed using the stacking ensemble learning approach. The results show that the HF-stacking model achieved the best overall performance, with an average AUC of 95.90% across subregions, 4.23% higher than the traditional stacking model. Other evaluation metrics also demonstrated comprehensive improvements. This study confirms that constructing an SHP framework and implementing feature selection strategies can effectively reduce the impact of spatial heterogeneity and feature redundancy, thereby significantly enhancing the predictive performance of LSA models. The proposed method contributes to improving the reliability of regional landslide risk assessments.
The movement and deformation of rock strata and the ground surface is a dynamic deformation process that occurs as underground mining progresses. Therefore, the dynamic prediction of three-dimensional surface deformation caused by underground mining is of great significance for assessing potential geological disasters. Synthetic aperture radar interferometry (InSAR) has been introduced into the field of mine deformation monitoring as a new mapping technology, but it is affected by many factors, and it cannot monitor the surface deformation value over the entire mining period, making it impossible to accurately predict the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the surface. To overcome this limitation, we propose a new dynamic prediction method (InSAR-DIB) based on a combination of InSAR and an improved Boltzmann (IB) function model. Theoretically, the InSAR-DIB model can use information on small dynamic deformation during mining to obtain surface prediction parameters and further realize a dynamic prediction of the surface. The method was applied to the 1613 (1) working face in the Huainan mining area. The results showed that the estimated mean error of the predicted surface deformation during mining was between 80.2 and 112.5 mm, and the estimated accuracy met the requirements for mining subsidence monitoring. The relevant research results are of great significance, and they support expanding the application of InSAR in mining areas with large deformation gradients.
Underground coal mines are widely distributed across China, and underground mining is highly concealed. The rapid and accurate identification of the spatial distribution of coal mining subsidence over large areas is of significant importance for the reuse of land resources in mining areas and the detection of illegal mining activities. The traditional method of monitoring subsidence basins has limitations in terms of monitoring range and timeliness. The development of synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) technology has provided a valuable tool for monitoring mining subsidence areas. However, this method faces challenges in quickly and effectively monitoring subsidence basins using wide-swath SAR images. With the rapid development of deep learning and computer vision technologies, leveraging advanced deep learning models in combination with InSAR technology has become a crucial research direction to enhance the monitoring efficiency of surface subsidence in mining areas. Therefore, this paper proposes a new method for the rapid identification of mining subsidence basins in mining areas, which integrates Deformable Detection Transformer (Deformable DETR) and InSAR technology. First, the real deformation sample set of the mining area, obtained through interference processing, is combined with simulated deformation samples generated using the dynamic probability integral method, elastic transformation, and various noise synthesis techniques to construct a mixed InSAR sample set. This mixed sample set is then used to train the Deformable DETR model and compared with common deep learning methods. The experimental results show that the monitoring accuracy is significantly improved, with the model achieving a Precision of 0.926, Recall of 0.886, F1-score of 0.905, and mean Intersection over Union (mIoU) of 0.828. The detection model was applied to monitor the dynamically updated mining subsidence in the Huainan mining area from 2023 to 2024, detecting 402 subsidence basins. Further training demonstrates that the model exhibits strong robustness. Therefore, this method reduces the construction cost of the target detection training set and holds significant application potential for monitoring geological disasters in large-scale mining areas.
In response to the shortage of theoretical support for negative sample selection and the imbalance between positive and negative samples in landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA), this study presents a dual optimization framework of sampling strategy and sample ratio based on the frequency ratio (FR) model and evaluates its performance in the Heishui River Basin using the random forest (RF) model. At the level of negative sample optimization, FR is used to quantify the spatial associations between landslides and environmental factors, delineate non-landslide zones as the source region for negative samples, and systematically compare the performance of five sampling strategies—random, buffer-zone, low-slope, low-density, and FR-optimized sampling. At the level of ratio adjustment, an innovative positive–negative sample ratio model based on the area ratio between susceptible and non-susceptible zones (1:1.3) is proposed, and four additional schemes (1:1, 1:2, 1:2.5, and 1:3) are designed for comparison. The results show that the FR-optimized sampling strategy provides the best discriminative performance, with AUC (area under the curve) = 0.992, Kappa = 0.964, accuracy = 0.982, and F1 score = 0.982, and achieves the highest mean metric value (0.980) and the lowest standard deviation (0.008). The 1:1.3 ratio scheme maintains the highest mean performance (0.982) and the lowest standard deviation (0.007), while yielding the optimal Kappa (0.968) and F1 score (0.982), confirming its advantages in classification balance and model stability. Spatial prediction results indicate that very high and high susceptibility zones are concentrated along both sides of the middle and lower reaches of the Heishui River Basin, occupying only 18.52% of the total area but containing 98.38% of the mapped landslide points, which strongly supports the reliability of the proposed model in identifying landslide risk hotspots. The proposed dual optimization framework not only enhances the robustness of susceptibility mapping but can also be directly applied to risk screening for territorial spatial planning and engineering development in the Heishui River Basin.
To address the difficulty in determining underground working face geometry when mining records are incomplete or mining activities are concealed, this study proposes an InSAR-constrained method for inverting the geometric parameters of concealed working faces. The method uses the line-of-sight (LOS) deformation field derived from LuTan-1 InSAR observations as the primary input. The search ranges of mining depth, mining thickness, coal seam dip angle, strike azimuth, working face center coordinates, strike length, and dip length are constrained using the morphology of the subsidence basin, available empirical parameters, and the Probability Integral Method (PIM). These constraints reduce the uncertainty caused by a large search space and parameter coupling in high-dimensional inversion. An adaptive multi-strategy differential evolution algorithm is then introduced. Latin hypercube sampling is used for population initialization. Dynamic parameter adjustment, multiple mutation strategies, reflective boundary handling, and local refinement are incorporated to improve optimization stability in complex parameter spaces. The simulation results show that the proposed method generally outperforms particle swarm optimization, genetic algorithm, evolutionary strategy, and standard differential evolution in inversion accuracy, convergence stability, and robustness to errors. It can reliably recover the main geometric parameters of a predefined working face. In the engineering case study of the 97,315 working face, the inverted active-mining geometry during the LuTan-1 observation period is generally consistent with the corresponding mine records, with a deformation-fitting RMSE of 32.53 mm and relative errors of the main geometric parameters below 7.9%. Parameter sensitivity analysis further shows that the geometric dimensions and center location of the working face have pronounced effects on the LOS deformation field. These parameters should therefore be tightly constrained during inversion. The results demonstrate that the proposed method provides a feasible remote-sensing approach for identifying concealed working faces and estimating goaf geometric parameters in mining areas with incomplete records.