Drought monitoring ensures the Yangtze River Basin’s social economy and agricultural production. Developing a comprehensive index with high monitoring precision is essential to enhance the accuracy of drought management strategies. This study proposes the standardized comprehensive drought index (SCDI) using a novel approach that utilizes the joint distribution of C-vine copula to effectively combine three critical drought factors: precipitation, NDVI, and runoff. The study analyzes the reliability and effectiveness of the SCDI in detecting drought events through quantitative indicators and assesses its applicability in the Yangtze River Basin. The findings are as follows: (1) The SCDI is a highly reliable and applicable drought index. Compared to traditional indices like the SPI, VCI, and SRI, it has a consistency rate of over 67% and can detect drought events in more sensitive months by over 51%. It has a low false negative rate of only 2% and a false positive rate of 0%, making it highly accurate. The SCDI is also applicable to all the third-level sub-basins of the Yangtze River Basin, making it a valuable tool for regional drought monitoring. (2) The time lag effect of the NDVI can affect the sensitivity of the SCDI. When the NDVI time series data are shifted forward by one month, the sensitivity of the SCDI in detecting agricultural drought improves from 47.8% to 53%. (3) The SDCI can assist in monitoring drought patterns in the Yangtze River Basin. From 2001 to 2018, the basin saw fluctuations in drought intensity, with the worst in December 2008. The western region had less frequent but more intense and prolonged droughts, while the eastern part had more frequent yet less severe droughts.

High-resolution precipitation field has been widely used in hydrological and meteorological modeling. This paper establishes the spatial and temporal distribution model of precipitation in Hubei Province from 2006 through 2014, based on the data of 75 meteorological stations. This paper applies a geographically and temporally weighted regression kriging (GTWRK) model to precipitation and assesses the effects of timescales and a time-weighted function on precipitation interpolation. This work’s results indicate that: (1) the optimal timescale of the geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) precipitation model is daily. The fitting accuracy is improved when the timescale is converted from months and years to days. The average mean absolute error (MAE), mean relative error (MRE), and the root mean square error (RMSE) decrease with scaling from monthly to daily time steps by 36%, 56%, and 35%, respectively, and the same statistical indexes decrease by 13%, 15%, and 14%, respectively, when scaling from annual to daily steps; (2) the time weight function based on an exponential function improves the predictive skill of the GTWR model by 3% when compared to geographically weighted regression (GWR) using a monthly time step; and (3) the GTWRK has the highest accuracy, and improves the MAE, MRE and RMSE by 3%, 10% and 1% with respect to monthly precipitation predictions, respectively, and by 3%, 10% and 5% concerning annual precipitation predictions, respectively, compared with the GWR results.

Retrieving thunderstorm activity through specific thermodynamic and kinematic parameters is paramount for predicting deep convective weather and investigating long‐term climatology of storm. However, the reliability of the relationship between parameters and convective events is restricted by the modelling methods and sampling of thunderstorm activity. There is no objective definition of a thunderstorm, so the clustering method is applied to the cloud‐to‐ground (CG) lightning stroke data in Central China to identify lightning clusters. These clusters are then gridded and associated with environmental variables derived from ERA5 reanalysis. Finally, machine learning (ML) technologies are applied to model the occurrence of thunderstorms. In addition, ERA5 is also evaluated. The parameters related to moisture and lapse rate calculated by ERA5 are close to sounding measurements, such as Td850, PW, LR700_400 and KI, whose correlation coefficients exceed 0.90. ERA5 has a good estimation of some parameters that are susceptible to the influence of the boundary layer. Compared with the lightning strike‐based scheme, our scheme obtains the best performance index values. An agreement between observations and predictions based on lightning clusters is also evident from the diurnal cycle of thunderstorm probabilities. Although thunderstorm activity on complex terrain is underestimated, the created ML model can explain 61.4% of the variance in the observed frequency. The results of the significance test reveal that there are statistically significant differences between the soundings corresponding to some isolated CG strikes and the thunderstorm class, but the distribution is the same as that of the non‐thunderstorm class. Solar radiation, topographic features and lake distribution play a major role in promoting the occurrence and development of thunderstorms.

High spatial resolution (1 km or finer) precipitation data fields are crucial for understanding the Earth’s water and energy cycles at the regional scale for applications. The spatial resolution of the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission (IMERG) satellite precipitation products is 0.1° (latitude) × 0.1° (longitude), which is too coarse for regional-scale analysis. This study combined the Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) and the Multifractal Random Cascade (MFRC) model to downscale monthly GPM/IMERG precipitation products from 0.1° × 0.1° (approximately 11 km × 11 km) to 1 km in Hubei Province, China. This work’s results indicate the following: (1) The original GPM product can accurately express the precipitation in the study area, which highly correlates with the site data from 2015 to 2017 (R² = 0.79) and overall presents the phenomenon of overestimation. (2) The GWR model maintains the precipitation field’s overall accuracy and smoothness, with even improvements in accuracy for specific months. In contrast, the MFRC model causes a slight decrease in the overall accuracy of the precipitation field but performs better in reducing the bias. (3) The GWR-MF combined with the GWR and MFRC model improves the observation accuracy of the downscaling results and reduces the bias value by introducing the MFRC to correct the deviation of GWR. The conclusion and analysis of this paper can provide a meaningful experience for 1 km high-resolution data to support related applications.

Selecting the flow accumulation threshold (FAT) plays a central role in extracting drainage networks from Digital Elevation Models (DEMs). This work presents the MR-AP (Multiple Regression and Adaptive Power) method for choosing suitable FAT when extracting drainage from DEMs. This work employs 36 sample sub-basins in Hubei (China) province. Firstly, topography, the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and water storage change are used in building multiple regression models to calculate the drainage length. Power functions are fit to calculate the FAT of each sub-basin. Nine randomly chosen regions served as test sub-basins. The results show that: (1) water storage change and NDVI have high correlation with the drainage length, and the coefficient of determination (R²) ranges between 0.85 and 0.87; (2) the drainage length obtained from the Multiple Regression model using water storage change, NDVI, and topography as influence factors is similar to the actual drainage length, featuring a coefficient of determination (R²) equal to 0.714; (3) the MR-AP method calculates suitable FATs for each sub-basin in Hubei province, with a drainage length error equal to 5.13%. Moreover, drainage network extraction by the MR-AP method mainly depends on the water storage change and the NDVI, thus being consistent with the regional water-resources change.