The potential effects of autonomous vehicles (AVs) on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are uncertain, although numerous studies have been conducted to evaluate the impact. This paper aims to synthesize and review all the literature regarding the topic in a systematic manner to eliminate the bias and provide an overall insight, while incorporating some statistical analysis to provide an interval estimate of these studies. This paper addressed the effect of the positive and negative impacts reported in the literature in two categories of AVs: partial automation and full automation. The positive impacts represented in AVs’ possibility to reduce GHG emission can be attributed to some factors, including eco-driving, eco traffic signal, platooning, and less hunting for parking. The increase in vehicle mile travel (VMT) due to (i) modal shift to AVs by captive passengers, including elderly and disabled people and (ii) easier travel compared to other modes will contribute to raising the GHG emissions. The result shows that eco-driving and platooning have the most significant contribution to reducing GHG emissions by 35%. On the other side, easier travel and faster travel significantly contribute to the increase of GHG emissions by 41.24%. Study findings reveal that the positive emission changes may not be realized at a lower AV penetration rate, where the maximum emission reduction might take place within 60–80% of AV penetration into the network.
Vehicle automation and communication technologies are considered promising approaches to improve operational driving behavior. The expected gradual implementation of autonomous vehicles (AVs) shortly will cause unique impacts on the traffic flow characteristics. This paper focuses on reviewing the expected impacts under a mixed traffic environment of AVs and regular vehicles (RVs) considering different AV characteristics. The paper includes a policy implication discussion for possible actual future practice and research interests. The AV implementation has positive impacts on the traffic flow, such as improved traffic capacity and stability. However, the impact depends on the factors including penetration rate of the AVs, characteristics, and operational settings of the AVs, traffic volume level, and human driving behavior. The critical penetration rate, which has a high potential to improve traffic characteristics, was higher than 40%. AV’s intelligent control of operational driving is a function of its operational settings, mainly car-following modeling. Different adjustments of these settings may improve some traffic flow parameters and may deteriorate others. The position and distribution of AVs and the type of their leading or following vehicles may play a role in maximizing their impacts.
The rapid increase in traffic volume on urban roads, over time, has altered the global traffic scenario. Additionally, it has increased the number of road crashes, some of which are severe and fatal in nature. The identification of hazardous roadway sections using the spatial pattern analysis of crashes and recognition of the primary and contributing factors may assist in reducing the severity of road traffic crashes (R.T.C.s). For crash severity prediction, along with spatial patterns, various machine learning models are used, and the spatial relations of R.T.C.s with neighboring areas are evaluated. In this study, tree-based ensemble models (gradient boosting and random forest) and a logistic regression model are compared for the prediction of R.T.C. severity. Sample data of road crashes in Al-Ahsa, the eastern province of Saudi Arabia, were obtained from 2016 to 2018. Random forest (R.F.) identifies significant features strongly correlated with the severity of the R.T.C.s. The analysis findings showed that the cause of the crash and the type of collision are the most crucial elements affecting the severity of injuries in traffic crashes. Furthermore, the target-specific model interpretation results showed that distracted driving, speeding, and sudden lane changes significantly contributed to severe crashes. The random forest (R.F.) method surpassed other models in terms of injury severity, individual class accuracies, and collective prediction accuracy when using k-fold (k = 10) based on various performance metrics. In addition to taking into account the machine learning approach, this study also included spatial autocorrelation analysis based on G.I.S. for identifying crash hotspots, and Getis Ord statistics were devised to locate cluster zones with high- and low-severity crashes. The results demonstrated that the research area’s spatial dependence was very strong, and the spatial patterns were clustered with a distance threshold of 500 m. The analysis’s approaches, which included Getis Ord , the crash severity index, and the spatial autocorrelation of accident incidents according to Moran’s I, were found to be a successful way of locating and rating crash hotspots and crash severity. The techniques used in this study could be applied to large-scale crash data analysis while providing a useful tool for policymakers looking to improve roadway safety.
The need to gain a comprehensive understanding of road travelers’ choice of mode and their perceptions of using sustainable urban mobility modes have evolved to shape the form of future transport planning and policymaking. To combat the concern of growing traffic congestion in Riyadh City, the government of Saudi Arabia designed and introduced a sustainable public transport project named “Riyadh Metro”. This study explores the potential commuters’ perception towards the Metro services and the factors that limit their propensity to use Metro and understand the tradeoffs that the individuals make when they are faced with a combination of mode characteristics (e.g., travel time, price, walking time). The stated preferences experiment was conducted on a sample from the Riyadh neighborhood by structured interviews. A discrete choice model based on binary logistic regression has been developed. The coefficient of travel attribute: travel time, fuel cost, Metro fare, and walking time was found to be statistically significant with a different effect on mode choice. The elasticity of the coefficient showed that an increase in the fuel price by 10% would increase the metro ridership by 5.3% and reduce car dependency. Decreasing the walking time by 5 min to the metro station will increase the metro ridership by 22%. Furthermore, the study revealed that implementing a 1 SAR/hour parking charge will decrease car dependency by 14%. Increase Metro fare by 10% will decrease Metro ridership by 6.9%. The socioeconomic factors coefficient shows a marginal effect on the choice decision of passengers.
11 September 2021 in Journal of Transport & Health
Sustainable transportation systems play a key role in the socio-economic development of a country. Microscopic simulation models are becoming increasingly useful tools in designing, optimizing, and evaluating the sustainability of transportation systems and concerned management strategies. VISSIM, a microscopic traffic simulation software, has gained rapid recognition in the field of traffic simulation. However, default values for different input parameters used during simulation need to be tested to ensure a realistic replication for local traffic conditions. This paper attempts to model driving behavior parameters using the microscopic simulation software VISSIM through a case study in the Khobar-Dammam metropolitan areas in Saudi Arabia. VISSIM default values for different sensitive parameters such as lane change distances, additive and multiplicative parts of desired safety distances, the number of preceding vehicles spotted, amber signal decisions, and minimum headway were identified to be most sensitive and significant parameters to be calibrated to precisely replicate field conditions. The simulation results using default values produced higher link speed, larger queue length, and shorter travel times than those observed in the field. However, measures of effectiveness (MOEs) obtained from calibrated models over desired simulation runs were comparable to those obtained from field surveys. All compared MOEs used to validate the model matched within a range of 5–10% to the field-observed values.