Land-use change is increasingly driven by global trade. The term "telecoupling" has been gaining ground as a means to describe how human actions in one part of the world can have spatially distant impacts on land and land-use in another. These interactions can, over time, create both direct and spatially distant feedback loops, in which human activity and land use mutually impact one another over great expanses. In this paper, we develop an analytical framework to clarify spatially distant feedbacks in the case of land use and global trade. We use an innovative mix of multi-regional input-output (MRIO) analysis and stochastic actor-oriented models (SAOMs) for analyzing the co-evolution of changes in trade network patterns with those of land use, as embodied in trade. Our results indicate that the formation of trade ties and changes in embodied land use mutually impact one another, and further, that these changes are linked to disparities in countries' wealth. Through identifying this feedback loop, our results support ongoing discussions about the unequal trade patterns between rich and poor countries that result in uneven distributions of negative environmental impacts. Finally, evidence for this feedback loop is present even when controlling for a number of underlying mechanisms, such as countries' land endowments, their geographical distance from one another, and a number of endogenous network tendencies.

Wildfire is a dominant disturbance agent in pan‐Arctic tundra and can significantly impact terrestrial carbon balance and ecosystem functioning. Interactions between fire and climate change can enhance their impacts on the Arctic. However, the driving mechanisms of tundra fire occurrence remain poorly understood. This study focuses on identifying key environmental factors controlling fire occurrence in Arctic tundra of Alaska. Our random forest models, considering ignition source, fuel, fire weather, and topography, have shown a strong predictive capability with an overall accuracy above 91%. We found cloud‐to‐ground (CG) lightning to be the dominant driver controlling tundra fire occurrence. Near‐surface weather warmer and drier than normal was required to support burning, while fuel composition and topography have modest correlations with fire occurrence. Our results highlight the critical role of CG lightning in driving tundra fires and that incorporating lightning in modeling is essential for fire monitoring, forecasting, and management in the Arctic.

Tundra ecosystems contain some of the largest stores of soil organic carbon among all biomes worldwide. Wildfire, the primary disturbance agent in Arctic tundra, is likely to impact soil properties in ways that enable carbon release and modify ecosystem functioning more broadly through impacts on organic soils, based on evidence from a recent extreme Anaktuvuk River Fire (ARF). However, comparatively little is known about the long-term impacts of typical tundra fires that are short-lived and transient. Here we quantitatively investigated how these transient tundra fires and other landscape factors affected organic soil properties, including soil organic layer (SOL) thickness, soil temperature, and soil moisture, in the tussock tundra. We examined extensive field observations collected from nearly 200 plots across a wide range of fire-impacted tundra regions in AK within the scope of NASA’s Arctic Boreal Vulnerability Experiment. We found an overall shallower SOL in our field regions (∼15 cm on average) compared to areas with no known fire record or the ARF (∼20 cm or thicker), suggesting that estimations based on evidence from the extreme ARF event could result in gross overestimation of soil organic carbon (SOC) stock and fire impacts across the tundra. Typical tundra fires could be too short-lived to result in substantial SOL consumption and yield less robust results of SOL and carbon storage. Yet, repeated fires may amount to a larger amount of SOC loss than one single severe burning. As expected, our study showed that wildfire could affect soil moisture and temperature in the tussock tundra over decades after the fire, with drier and warmer soils found to be associated with more frequent and severe burnings. Soil temperature was also associated with vegetation cover and air temperature.