Membrane fouling significantly hinders the widespread application of membrane technology. In the current study, a support vector machine (SVM) and artificial neural networks (ANN) modelling approach was adopted to optimize the membrane permeability in a novel membrane rotating biological contactor (MRBC). The MRBC utilizes the disk rotation mechanism to generate a shear rate at the membrane surface to scour off the foulants. The effect of operational parameters (disk rotational speed, hydraulic retention time (HRT), and sludge retention time (SRT)) was studied on the membrane permeability. ANN and SVM are machine learning algorithms that aim to predict the model based on the trained data sets. The implementation and efficacy of machine learning and statistical approaches have been demonstrated through real-time experimental results. Feed-forward ANN with the back-propagation algorithm and SVN regression models for various kernel functions were trained to augment the membrane permeability. An overall comparison of predictive models for the test data sets reveals the model’s significance. ANN modelling with 13 hidden layers gives the highest R² value of >0.99, and the SVM model with the Bayesian optimizer approach results in R² values higher than 0.99. The MRBC is a promising substitute for traditional suspended growth processes, which aligns with the stipulations of ecological evolution and environmentally friendly treatment.

Pool fires cause immense damage to fuel storage tank farms. Reduced fire escalation risk in tank farms improves fire safety. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) has proven effective in assessing escalation of fire-related domino effects and is being utilized for pool fire consequences in tank farms. The past CFD-based analysis focused on primary fire effects on secondary targets. This study used fire dynamics simulator (FDS) to model complete evolution of the domino effect under different wind speeds and primary pool fire locations. Dynamic escalation probability (DEP) and fire spread probability of the tank farm were calculated. Offset tank failure increased by 3% and 31%, while inline tank failure dropped by 36% and 90%, at 2 and 8 m/s, respectively. An artificial neural network (ANN) incorporating the Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm is used to predict fire spread probability based on numerical data set. The use of ANNs for this purpose is one of the first attempts in this regard. ANNs can reliably predict dynamic fire spread probability and could be utilized to manage fire-induced domino effects. Moreover, dynamic fire spread probability in tank farms obtained from ANN modelling can be used for safety applications, such as updating mitigation time when fire spread probability is unacceptable for a specific wind speed.

Fire-induced domino effects in tank farms can be catastrophic, particularly under wind conditions. However, due to multiple evolutionary stages, Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD)-based modelling of wind-influenced, fire-induced domino effects and tank farm Time to Failure (TTF) calculation remain computationally expensive. This study addresses this gap by using Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS) to model fire-induced domino effects in a tank farm and perform detailed tank farm TTF calculations across multiple wind speeds and primary pool fire scenarios. The FDS results showed that increasing wind speed from 0 to 8 m/s altered domino escalation, increasing incident heat flux on the downwind in-line tank by more than sevenfold (a 35% reduction in tank farm TTF). A new perturbation-based analytical formulation was then proposed for rapid determination of tank farm TTF under wind effects, without requiring complete CFD simulations of pool fire escalation. The formulation updates tank farm TTF under the no-wind baseline solution with wind-influenced perturbative correction terms. The proposed formulation agreed with the detailed CFD modelling-based calculation, with a mean relative error of 2.8% across all primary fire scenarios and wind conditions. This formulation provides a practical basis for rapid assessment of domino effects due to pool fire under wind conditions. However, it is calibrated for one specific six-tank configuration and crosswind directions and is not yet general.

Human reliability assessment for tank overfilling incident utilizing minimized human performance shaping factors ASHER AHMED Malik, RISZA Rusli, FATIN AFIFA