Within the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), ECMWF is producing the ERA5 reanalysis which, once completed, will embody a detailed record of the global atmosphere, land surface and ocean waves from 1950 onwards. This new reanalysis replaces the ERA‐Interim reanalysis (spanning 1979 onwards) which was started in 2006. ERA5 is based on the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) Cy41r2 which was operational in 2016. ERA5 thus benefits from a decade of developments in model physics, core dynamics and data assimilation. In addition to a significantly enhanced horizontal resolution of 31 km, compared to 80 km for ERA‐Interim, ERA5 has hourly output throughout, and an uncertainty estimate from an ensemble (3‐hourly at half the horizontal resolution). This paper describes the general set‐up of ERA5, as well as a basic evaluation of characteristics and performance, with a focus on the dataset from 1979 onwards which is currently publicly available. Re‐forecasts from ERA5 analyses show a gain of up to one day in skill with respect to ERA‐Interim. Comparison with radiosonde and PILOT data prior to assimilation shows an improved fit for temperature, wind and humidity in the troposphere, but not the stratosphere. A comparison with independent buoy data shows a much improved fit for ocean wave height. The uncertainty estimate reflects the evolution of the observing systems used in ERA5. The enhanced temporal and spatial resolution allows for a detailed evolution of weather systems. For precipitation, global‐mean correlation with monthly‐mean GPCP data is increased from 67% to 77%. In general, low‐frequency variability is found to be well represented and from 10 hPa downwards general patterns of anomalies in temperature match those from the ERA‐Interim, MERRA‐2 and JRA‐55 reanalyses.
1 July 2020 in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Launched in 2006, the Formosa Satellite Mission 3–Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate (FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC) was the first constellation of microsatellites carrying global positioning system (GPS) radio occultation (RO) receivers. Radio occultation is an active remote sensing technique that provides valuable information on the vertical variations of electron density in the ionosphere, and temperature, pressure, and water vapor in the stratosphere and troposphere. COSMIC has demonstrated the great value of RO data in ionosphere, climate, and meteorological research and operational weather forecasting. However, there are still challenges using RO data, particularly in the moist lower troposphere and upper stratosphere. A COSMIC follow-on constellation, COSMIC-2, was launched into equatorial orbit in 2019. With increased signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) from improved receivers and digital beam steering antennas, COSMIC-2 will produce at least 5,000 high-quality RO profiles daily in the tropics and subtropics. In this paper, we summarize 1) recent (since 2011 when the last review was published) contributions of COSMIC and other RO observations to weather, climate, and space weather science; 2) the remaining challenges in RO applications; and 3) potential contributions to research and operations of COSMIC-2.
16 July 2014 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
In preparation for the Aeolus Doppler Wind Lidar satellite mission, single‐component wind information from conventional observations was assimilated into the ECMWF data assimilation system. Various Observing System Experiments have been designed and performed in order to estimate the impact of such information in numerical weather prediction. The evaluation used various adjoint diagnostic tools and traditional statistical verification methods. The importance of assimilating wind observations as either single component or full vector wind is evaluated. Comparisons between the assimilation of wind and mass observations were also made. Wind observations can lead to significant improvement in the upper troposphere, lower stratosphere and in the Tropics. Mass data are more valuable in the midlatitudes, particularly in the lower part of the atmosphere. The comparison of additional mass and wind observations in the Global Observing System is useful to understand the importance of future wind observations. The investigation also highlighted that the impact of zonal wind observations is larger than the meridional wind (Aeolus will mostly measure wind components near the zonal direction). Root mean‐squared errors of temperature and wind forecasts when the single wind component (zonal) is assimilated show around 35% degradation up to day 2 forecasts and around 20% after day 2 as compared to assimilating full vector wind. Therefore the single (zonal) wind components can provide a large fraction of the vector wind impact particularly for the medium‐range forecast, which is promising for Aeolus.
Since 1994 the U.S. Global Drifter Program (GDP) and its international partners cooperating within the Data Buoy Cooperation Panel (DBCP) of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the United Nations Education, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) have been deploying drifters equipped with barometers primarily in the extratropical regions of the world’s oceans in support of operational weather forecasting. To date, the impact of the drifter data isolated from other sources has never been studied. This essay quantifies and discusses the effect and the impact of in situ sea level atmospheric pressure (SLP) data from the global drifter array on numerical weather prediction using observing system experiments and forecast sensitivity observation impact studies. The in situ drifter SLP observations are extremely valuable for anchoring the global surface pressure field and significantly contributing to accurate marine weather forecasts, especially in regions where no other in situ observations are available, for example, the Southern Ocean. Furthermore, the forecast sensitivity observation impact analysis indicates that the SLP drifter data are the most valuable per-observation contributor of the Global Observing System (GOS). All these results give evidence that surface pressure observations of drifting buoys are essential ingredients of the GOS and that their quantity, quality, and distribution should be preserved as much as possible in order to avoid any analysis and forecast degradations. The barometer upgrade program offered by the GDP, under which GDP-funded drifters can be equipped with partner-funded accurate air pressure sensors, is a practical example of how the DBCP collaboration is executed. Interested parties are encouraged to contact the GDP to discuss upgrade opportunities.
13 July 2020 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
It is demonstrated that a realistic quasi‐biennial oscillation (QBO) of the zonally averaged zonal winds in the tropical stratosphere can be retrieved from a monthly mean GNSS radio occultation (GNSS‐RO) geopotential height climatology via equatorial thermal wind balance. The retrieved GNSS‐RO zonal winds are compared with a zonal wind climatology from radiosonde measurements at Singapore, and the ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis. Simplified low‐resolution reanalysis experiments also show that assimilating just reprocessed GNSS‐RO bending angles and AMSU‐A channel 14 radiances produces a reasonable QBO. Further, it is demonstrated that the ERA5 and ERA‐Interim tropical zonal winds at 30 and 10 hPa are more consistent after the assimilation of COSMIC GNSS‐RO measurements in 2006.