More than 8000 pedestrians were killed due to road crashes in Australia over the last 30 years. Pedestrians are assumed to be the most vulnerable users of roads. This susceptibility of pedestrians to road crashes conflicts with sustainable transportation objectives. It is critical to know the causes of pedestrian injuries in order to enhance the safety of these vulnerable road users. To achieve this, traditional statistical models are used frequently. However, they have been criticized for their inflexibility in handling outliers and missing or noisy data, and their strict pre-assumptions. This study applied an advanced machine learning algorithm, a Bayesian neural network, which has the characters of both Bayesian theory and neural networks. Several structures of this model were built, and the best structure was selected, which included three hidden neuron layers—sixteen hidden nodes in the first layer and eight hidden nodes in the second and third layers. The performance of this model was compared with the performances of some other machine learning techniques, including standard Bayesian networks, a standard neural network, and a random forest model. The Bayesian neural network model outperformed the other models. In addition, a study on the importance of the features showed that the individuals’ characteristics, time, and circumstantial factors were essential. They greatly increased model performance if the model used them. This research lays the groundwork for using machine learning approaches to alleviate pedestrian deaths caused by road accidents.
The investigation of travel mode choice is an essential task in transport planning and policymaking for predicting travel demands. Typically, mode choice datasets are imbalanced and learning from such datasets is challenging. This study deals with imbalanced mode choice data by developing an algorithm (SVMAK) based on a support vector machine model and the theory of adjusting kernel scaling. The kernel function’s choice was evaluated by applying the likelihood-ratio chi-square and weighting measures. The empirical assessment was performed on the 2017 National Household Travel Survey–California dataset. The performance of the SVMAK model was compared with several other models, including neural networks, XGBoost, Bayesian Network, standard support vector machine model, and some SVM-based models that were previously developed to handle the imbalanced datasets. The SVMAK model outperformed these models, and in some cases improved the accuracy of the minority class classification. For the majority class, the accuracy improvement was substantial. This algorithm can be applied to other tasks in the transport planning domain that deal with uneven data distribution.
In the United States, several studies have looked at the association between automobile ownership and sociodemographic factors and built environment qualities, but few have looked at household travel characteristics. Their interactions and nonlinear linkages are frequently overlooked in existing studies. Utilizing the 2017 US National Household Travel Survey, the authors employed an extreme gradient boosting tree model to evaluate the nonlinear and interaction impacts of household travel characteristics and built environment factors on vehicle ownership in three states of the United States (California, Missouri, and Kansas) that are different in population size. To develop these models, three main XGBT parameters, including the number of trees, maximal depth, and minimum rows, were optimized using a grid search technique. In California, the predictability of vehicle ownership was driven by household travel characteristics (cumulative importance: 0.62). Predictions for vehicle ownership in Missouri and Kansas were dominantly influenced by sociodemographic factors (cumulative importance: 0.53 and 0.55, respectively). In all states, the authors found that the number of drivers in a household plays a vital role in the vehicle ownership decisions of households. Regarding the built environment attributes, deficiencies in cycling infrastructure were the most prominent attribute in predicting household vehicle ownership in California. This variable, however, has threshold connections with vehicle ownership, but the magnitude of these relationships is small. The outcomes imply that improving the condition of cycling infrastructure will help reduce the number of vehicles. In addition, incentives that encourage the households’ drivers not to buy new vehicles are helpful. The outcomes of this study might aid policymakers in developing policies that encourage sustainable vehicle ownership in the United States.