The article analyzes the dynamics of the development of the electromobility sector in Poland in the context of the European Union and due to the economic situation and development of the electromobility sector in the contexts of Switzerland and Norway. On the basis of obtained data, a forecast was made which foresees the most likely outlook of the electric car market in the coming years. The forecast was made using the creeping trend method, and extended up to 2030. As part of the analysis of the effect of the impact of electromobility, an original method was proposed for calculating the primary energy factor (PEF) primary energy ratio in the European Union and in its individual countries, which illustrates the conversion efficiency of primary energy into electricity and the overall efficiency of the power system. The original method was also verified, referring to the methods proposed by the Fraunhofer-Institut. On the basis of all previous actions and analyses, an assessment was made of the impact of the development of the electromobility sector on air quality in the countries studied. Carbon dioxide tank-to-wheels emission reductions which result from the conversion of the car fleet from conventional vehicles to electric motors were then calculated. In addition to reducing carbon dioxide emissions, other pollutant emissions were also calculated, such as carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxides (NOx) and particulate matter (PM). The increase in the demand for electricity resulting from the needs of electric vehicles was also estimated. On this basis, and also on the basis of previously calculated primary energy coefficients, the emission reduction values have been adjusted for additional emissions resulting from the generation of electricity in power plants.
31 March 2020 in Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability
Monitoring of industrial processes is an important element ensuring the proper maintenance of equipment and high level of processes reliability. The presented research concerns the application of the deep learning method in the field of ultrasound tomography (UST). A novel algorithm that uses simultaneously multiple classification convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to generate monochrome 2D images was developed. In order to meet a compromise between the number of the networks and the number of all possible outcomes of a single network, it was proposed to divide the output image into 4-pixel clusters. Therefore, the number of required CNNs has been reduced fourfold and there are 16 distinct outcomes from single network. The new algorithm was first verified using simulation data and then tested on real data. The accuracy of image reconstruction exceeded 95%. The results obtained by using the new CNN clustered algorithm were compared with five popular machine learning algorithms: shallow Artificial Neural Network, Linear Support Vector Machine, Classification Tree, Medium k-Nearest Neighbor classification and Naive Bayes. Based on this comparison, it was found that the newly developed method of multiple convolutional neural networks (MCNN) generates the highest quality images.
The power sector is currently experiencing a dynamic transformation, resulting not only from EU directives, but also from current problems, mainly related to ensuring energy security for customers. For this reason, in Poland, it was decided that the model of electricity market operation needed to be changed. A dual market has been created, and a separated segment is the capacity market. This solution operates, in addition to other power mechanisms, in many European Union countries, e.g., in France, Great Britain, and Italy. The experience of these countries indicates the positive impact of the power market on various aspects of the power sector, such as legal, economic, technical and technological, social, and infrastructural aspects, mainly due to technological neutrality and open competition between power suppliers. The creation of the structure of an energy market drastically changes the rules of energy management, which requires investigations concerning the impact of those factors on the energy sector in Poland. The aim of this work is to examine the impact of the power market on the Polish power sector, and to determine the impact of individual consequences on several predefined areas. For this purpose, a questionnaire survey was used. The purpose of a detailed analysis is to develop probable scenarios for the sustainable development of the Polish energy sector.
The study determines the most suitable pattern of alignment and fixing of low-rigidity shafts; it also presents factors that determine such choice. The part is fixed both by force closing and kinematic closing. A new method for machining low rigidity shafts is developed to control the elastic-deformable state of these shafts in a technological system and to produce parts with the required accuracy during turning. To implement this new developed method for low rigidity shafts, an apparatus is designed. The apparatus allows to increase the rigidity of shafts during machining by the application of axial tensile force to the workpiece. Rational prime costs of preparing technological alignment centers at the stage of production preparation are determined; knowing these costs, it is possible to select a suitable machining technology for low rigidity shafts, to produce a technology-oriented design, and to reduce the costs of machining these shafts.
31 March 2020 in Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability
The execution of production processes in real manufacturing systems is associated with the occurrence of numerous disruptions, which predominantly revolve around technological machine failure. Therefore, various maintenance strategies are being developed, many of which tend to emphasise effective preventive measures, such as the Time-Based Maintenance (TBM) discussed in this paper. Specifically, this publication presents the time-based machine failure prediction algorithm for the multi-machine manufacturing environment. The Introduction section outlines the body of knowledge related to typical strategies applied in maintenance. The next part describes an approach to failure prediction that treats processing times as makespan and is followed by highlighting the key role of historical data in machine failure management, in the subsequent section. Finally, the proposed time-based machine failure prediction algorithm is presented and tested by means of a two-step verification, which confirms its effectiveness and further practical implementation