The work is devoted to the study of the climatic effects of black carbon (BC) transferred from forest fires to the Arctic zone. The HYSPLIT (The Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory model) trajectory model was used to initially assess the potential for particle transport from fires. The results of the trajectory analysis of the 2019 fires showed that the probability of the transfer of particles to the Arctic ranges from 1% to 10%, and in some cases increases to 20%. Detailed studies of the possible influence of BC ejected as a result of fires became possible by using the climate model of the INMCM5 (Institute of Numerical Mathematics Climate Model). The results of the numerical experiments have shown that the maximum concentration of BC in the Arctic atmosphere is observed in July and August and is associated with emissions from fires. The deposition of BC in the Arctic increases by about 1.5–2 times in the same months, in comparison with simulation without forest fire emissions. This caused an average decrease in solar radiation forcing of 0.3–0.4 Wt/m2 and an increase in atmospheric radiation heating of up to 5–6 Wt/m2. To assess the radiation forcing from BC contaminated snow, we used the dependences of the change in the snow albedo on the snow depth, and the albedo of the underlying surface for a given amount of BC fallen on the snow. These dependences were constructed on the basis of the SNICAR (Snow, Ice, and Aerosol Radiative) model. According to our calculations, the direct radiative forcing from BC in the atmosphere with a clear sky is a maximum of 4–5 W/m2 in July and August.
Introduction. The results of estimating greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by a vehicle fleet are described, using the COPERT-4 methodology and the baseline data contained in 1-BDD form, concerning the number of vehicle fleets in Russia and three options for detailing the fleet structure by the fuel type and ecological class in different organizations. Such data is not provided in the forms of state statistical reports and is generated by the researchers.Materials and methods. Various approaches to the structuring of the park by the fuel type and the ecological class give a slight variation in the values of GHG emissions’ gross (up to 4.1%), which confirms the correctness and approaches’ validity to the generation of the required initial data. The authors introduce the concept of total conditional transport work in order to adjust the values of the average annual mileage to the generation of the required initial data in the calculation of GHG emissions gross by the fleet of cars. Moreover, the value of total conditional transport work for all considered GHG variants should be the same.Results. As a result, if such adjustment is not made, the difference between the obtained calculated values of GHG emissions gross by the vehicle fleet for different authors would reach 25-30%. Discussion and conclusions. The reliability of the GHG emission values estimation is confirmed by the indirect method or by comparing the data of statistical reporting on the volumes of motor fuel consumption depending on different consumers in the fuel and energy balance, and on the fuel consumption values, and on the greenhouse gas emissions gross by the COPERT-4 method.
The results of heavy metal measurements in monthly precipitation samples are analyzed at biological station Dal’nie Zelentsy to define the role of the atmospheric precipitation in the marine environment pollution in the Barents Sea coastal region. Peculiarities of the atmospheric processes and the genesis of air masses bringing the precipitation and the extent of their effect on the precipitation pollution with heavy metals are considered based on the data obtained in 2001–2002. Of the air masses brining the precipitation to the Kola Peninsula coast the air masses of a marine origin have significant advantage. It is shown that weight average heavy metal (except copper) concentrations in the precipitation from the marine air masses on the Kola coast are higher than in the precipitation from the continental air masses. The emissions from local metallurgic enterprises influence the extent of the precipitation pollution with copper.
The gas sector makes a significant contribution to fugitive emissions in the national greenhouse gas inventory of the Russian Federation. A cooperative research project by the Institute of Global Climate and Ecology, Gazprom VNIIGAZ Ltd. and Gazprom JSC is being conducted, aimed at the update of the parameters used for the estimation of methane emission due to natural gas extraction and pipeline transport, which are among the basic operations of the natural gas sector in the country. The update was performed based on average density and chemical content of the natural gas produced. The values derived were recalculated for the standard thermodynamic conditions. Following the update, the methane emissions were calculated with the incorporation of the parameters derived.
11 November 2020 in The Russian Automobile and Highway Industry Journal
Introduction. The study presents the results of the calculation of greenhouse gas emissions and polluting solids by vehicles fleet on the basis of three independent estimates of the set of initial data on the breakdown of the fleet by technological classes (the number and types of vehicles of different ecological classes, annual mileage, etc.). Such data is not provided in the forms of state statistical reports and is generated by the researchers. The article solves the problem of determining their significance for calculating the total emissions in the context of a large data array for the territory of Russia.Materials and methods. Three different versions to the calculation of greenhouse gas emissions (basic version, equalization of transport work and new approach - equalization of fuel consumption) are proposed in order to identify differences in the obtained emissions in different conditions (i.e., to determine quantitative characteristics of the accuracy of the final values). A new method has been developed for assessing the effect of average mileage and vehicle distribution on classes on the total emissions values, implemented within each proposed version. In addition, two types of sensitivity formulas are formed by the authors to assess the impact of vehicle distribution on classes and average mileage to final emission calculations. The use of these formulas provides scientific analysis and interpretation of the influence of the factors in expert review on the final values of the emissions of each type.Results. The differences in sorting cars into classes in expert evaluations were revealed and the closest ones are determined. It was found that the most sensitive to changes in mileage and class of cars, on which fuel consumption depends, are CO2 emissions.Conclusion. The scientific sensitivity analysis of both types showed the importance of maintaining the principles underlying expert evaluation from year to year in order to ensure that the results obtained are consistent.