Wolfgang Nowak

Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Nowak

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

24Years (2003-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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13 May 2016 in Vadose Zone Journal
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
HVHarry Vereecken
Harry Vereecken
ASAndrea Schnepf
Andrea Schnepf
Jan HopmansJan Hopmans
Jan Hopmans
MJM. Javaux
M. Javaux
DODani Or
Dani Or
IYI.M. Young
I.M. Young
Core Ideas: A community effort is needed to move soil modeling forward. Establishing an international soil modeling consortium is key in this respect. There is a need to better integrate existing knowledge in soil models. Integration of data and models is a key challenge in soil modeling. The remarkable complexity of soil and its importance to a wide range of ecosystem services presents major challenges to the modeling of soil processes. Although major progress in soil models has occurred in the last decades, models of soil processes remain disjointed between disciplines or ecosystem services, with considerable uncertainty remaining in the quality of predictions and several challenges that remain yet to be addressed. First, there is a need to improve exchange of knowledge and experience among the different disciplines in soil science and to reach out to other Earth science communities. Second, the community needs to develop a new generation of soil models based on a systemic approach comprising relevant physical, chemical, and biological processes to address critical knowledge gaps in our understanding of soil processes and their interactions. Overcoming these challenges will facilitate exchanges between soil modeling and climate, plant, and social science modeling communities. It will allow us to contribute to preserve and improve our assessment of ecosystem services and advance our understanding of climate‐change feedback mechanisms, among others, thereby facilitating and strengthening communication among scientific disciplines and society. We review the role of modeling soil processes in quantifying key soil processes that shape ecosystem services, with a focus on provisioning and regulating services. We then identify key challenges in modeling soil processes, including the systematic incorporation of heterogeneity and uncertainty, the integration of data and models, and strategies for effective integration of knowledge on physical, chemical, and biological soil processes. We discuss how the soil modeling community could best interface with modern modeling activities in other disciplines, such as climate, ecology, and plant research, and how to weave novel observation and measurement techniques into soil models. We propose the establishment of an international soil modeling consortium to coherently advance soil modeling activities and foster communication with other Earth science disciplines. Such a consortium should promote soil modeling platforms and data repository for model development, calibration and intercomparison essential for addressing contemporary challenges.

1 October 2012 in Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
SOSergey Oladyshkin
Sergey Oladyshkin
WNWolfgang Nowak
Wolfgang Nowak

1 April 2018 in Journal of Cleaner Production
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
FCFelix Cebulla
Felix Cebulla
JHJannik Haas
Jannik Haas
JEJosh Eichman
Josh Eichman
WNWolfgang Nowak
Wolfgang Nowak
PMPierluigi Mancarella
Pierluigi Mancarella

1 February 2020 in Energy Conversion and Management
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
JHJannik Haas
Jannik Haas
JKJ. Khalighi
J. Khalighi
AFAlberto De la Fuente
Alberto De la Fuente
SGS.U. Gerbersdorf
S.U. Gerbersdorf
WNWolfgang Nowak
Wolfgang Nowak
PCPo-Jung Chen
Po-Jung Chen

1 December 2017 in Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
JHJannik Haas
Jannik Haas
FCF. Cebulla
F. Cebulla
KCK. Cao
K. Cao
WNWolfgang Nowak
Wolfgang Nowak
RPRodrigo Palma
Rodrigo Palma
PMP. Mancarella
P. Mancarella
Expansion planning models are often used to support investment decisions in the power sector. Towards the massive insertion of renewable energy sources, expansion planning of energy storage systems (SEP - Storage Expansion Planning) is becoming more popular. However, to date, there is no clear overview of the available SEP models in the literature. To shed light on the existing approaches, this review paper presents a broad classification of SEP, which is used to analyze a database of about 90 publications to identify trends and challenges. The trends we found are that while SEP was born more than four decades ago, only in the last five years increasing research efforts were put into the topic. The planning has evolved from adequacy criteria to broader targets, such as direct costs, mitigation of CO2 emissions, and renewable integration. The modeling of the network, power system, energy storage systems (ESS), and time resolution are becoming more detailed. Uncertainty is often considered and the solution methods are still very diverse. As outstanding challenges, we found that (1) the large diversity of ESS, in contrast to conventional generation technologies, and (2) the complex lifetime and efficiency functions need to be addressed in the models. (3) Only a high temporal and spatial resolution will allow for dimensioning the challenge of integrating renewables and the role of ESS. (4) Although the value of ESS lies beyond shifting energy in time, current SEP is mostly blind to other system services. (5) Today, many flexibility options are available, but they are often assessed separately. In the same line, although cross-sectorial (power, heat, transport, water) SEP is becoming more frequent, there are many open tasks towards an integrated coordination. The planning of future energy systems will be multi-sectorial and multi-objective, consider the multi-services of ESS, and will inherently require interdisciplinary efforts

4 November 2014 in Water Resources Research
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Anneli GuthkeAnneli Guthke
Anneli Guthke
TWThomas Wöhling
Thomas Wöhling
LSLuis Samaniego
Luis Samaniego
WNWolfgang Nowak
Wolfgang Nowak
Bayesian model selection or averaging objectively ranks a number of plausible, competing conceptual models based on Bayes' theorem. It implicitly performs an optimal trade‐off between performance in fitting available data and minimum model complexity. The procedure requires determining Bayesian model evidence (BME), which is the likelihood of the observed data integrated over each model's parameter space. The computation of this integral is highly challenging because it is as high‐dimensional as the number of model parameters. Three classes of techniques to compute BME are available, each with its own challenges and limitations: (1) Exact and fast analytical solutions are limited by strong assumptions. (2) Numerical evaluation quickly becomes unfeasible for expensive models. (3) Approximations known as information criteria (ICs) such as the AIC, BIC, or KIC (Akaike, Bayesian, or Kashyap information criterion, respectively) yield contradicting results with regard to model ranking. Our study features a theory‐based intercomparison of these techniques. We further assess their accuracy in a simplistic synthetic example where for some scenarios an exact analytical solution exists. In more challenging scenarios, we use a brute‐force Monte Carlo integration method as reference. We continue this analysis with a real‐world application of hydrological model selection. This is a first‐time benchmarking of the various methods for BME evaluation against true solutions. Results show that BME values from ICs are often heavily biased and that the choice of approximation method substantially influences the accuracy of model ranking. For reliable model selection, bias‐free numerical methods should be preferred over ICs whenever computationally feasible.