Objective: This study aimed to evaluate seasonal effects on the mechanisms of burn injuries in patients requiring hospitalization. Material and Methods: A retrospective evaluation was made using the information of 419 hospitalized burns patients, including demographic data, degree and percentage of burn injury, cause and mechanism of burn injury, morbidity and mortality. Burn mechanisms were grouped as thermal burns (flame, boiling liquid, contact), chemical burns and electrical burns. When calculating the percentage of body surface area burned, the rule of nines was applied. Seasonal classification was made appropriate to the northern hemisphere. Results: According to the seasons, the most burns were seen in spring months (n= 130, 31.0%). In the examination of the mechanism of burn injury, the most common type of injury was boiling liquid in 159 patients followed by flame injury in 146 patients. There was an increase in electrical and chemical burns in spring and summer. A statistically significant difference was determined between the types of burns according to the seasons (p= 0.024). The burn injury occurred as a result of a workplace accident in 82 cases, the majority of which were in autumn, and summer, and the difference in the seasons was determined to be statistically significant (p= 0.045). There was a statistically significant increase in the exposure of individuals aged >65 years to boiling liquid burns in winter and summer months (p= 0.014). Conclusion: The results of this study showed a seasonal effect on the types of burn injuries. A higher rate of thermal burns was expected to be found in winter, but this was not the case in patients with indications for hospitalization, as chemical and electrical burns in workplace accidents were seen more frequently in warmer seasons of spring and summer. In this context, burns units should be prepared for patient profiles to vary according to the season.
This study aimed to establish a strong regression model by revealing the preoperative predictive factors for sentinel lymph node (SLN) positivity in patients with early stage breast cancer (ESBC). In total, 445 patients who underwent SLN dissection for ESBC were included. All data that may be potential predictors of SLN positivity were retrospectively analyzed. Tumor size >2 cm, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) + status, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), palpable tumor, microcalcifications, multifocality or multicentricity, and axillary ultrasonographic findings were defined as independent predictors of SLN involvement. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) values were 0.797, 0.808, and 0.870 for the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) nomogram, MD Anderson Cancer Center (MDACC) nomogram, and our regression model, respectively (P < .001). The recent model for predicting SLN status in ESBC was found to be stronger than existing nomograms. Parameters not included in current nomograms, such as palpable tumors, microcalcifications, and axillary ultrasonographic findings, are likely to make this model more meaningful.
Purpose: Intestinal ischemia in strangulated abdominal wall hernias is a life-threatening condition that requires early detection and timely intervention. Since both systemic inflammation and nutritional status play a crucial role in surgical outcomes, identifying reliable predictive markers is essential. This study explores the potential of albumin-based nutritional indices—the CALLY Index, Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS)—to assess their ability to predict the risk of intestinal ischemia and the need for surgical resection. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 125 patients who underwent surgery for incarcerated abdominal hernias between January 2015 and August 2024. Patients were categorized based on whether they had intestinal or omental ischemia. Key demographic data, perioperative findings, and laboratory parameters—including CRP, albumin, lymphocyte count, PNI, CALLY, and mGPS—were recorded. We performed univariate and multivariate regression analyses to identify independent risk factors, while ROC analysis was used to determine the optimal cutoff value for the CALLY Index. Results: Out of 125 patients, 66 (52.8%) were female, and the median age was 67 (58–76) years. Intestinal ischemia was found in 73 (58.4%) of the patients, while 23 (18.4%) had only omental necrosis. In the multivariate regression analysis, GPS 2 (OR: 19.299, p = 0.015) and CALLY < 2.5 (OR: 5.397, p = 0.017) were identified as independent predictors of intestinal ischemia. ROC analysis showed that a CALLY value below 2.5 had strong predictive power (AUC: 0.828, 95% CI: 0.753–0.902, p < 0.001). Conclusion: Our findings suggest that the CALLY Index and mGPS are valuable tools for predicting intestinal ischemia in strangulated abdominal hernias. By incorporating inflammatory and nutritional markers into risk assessment, these indices can assist in early diagnosis and timely surgical decision-making.
Introduction. COVID-19 pandemic has led to an increased rate of intensive care unit (ICU) stays. Intermediate care units (IMCUs) are a useful resource for the management of patients with severe COVID-19 that do not require ICU admission. In this research, we aimed to determine survival outcomes and parameters predicting mortality in patients who have been admitted to IMCU. Materials and Methods. Patients who were admitted to IMCU between April 2019 and January 2021 were analyzed retrospectively. Sociodemographics, clinical characteristics, and blood parameters on admission were compared between the patients who died in IMCU and the others. Blood parameters at discharge were compared between survived and deceased individuals. Survival analysis was performed via Kaplan–Meier analysis. Blood parameters predicting mortality were determined by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Results. A total of 140 patients were included within the scope of this study. The median age was 72.5 years, and 77 (55%) of them were male and 63 (45%) of them were female. A total of 37 (26.4%) patients deceased in IMCU, and 40 patients (28.5%) were transferred to ICU. Higher platelet count (HR 3.454; 95% CI 1.383–8.625; ), procalcitonin levels (HR 3.083; 95% CI 1.158–8.206; ), and lower oxygen saturation (HR 4.121; 95% CI 2.018–8.414; ) were associated with an increased risk of mortality in IMCU. At discharge from IMCU, higher procalcitonin levels (HR 2.809; 95% CI 1.216–6.487; ), lower platelet count (HR 2.269; 95% CI 1.012–5.085; ), and noninvasive mechanic ventilation requirement (HR 2.363; 95% CI 1.201–4.651; ) were associated with an increased risk of mortality. Median OS was found as 41 days. The overall survival rate was found 40% while the IMCU survival rate was 73.6%. Conclusions. IMCU seems to have a positive effect on survival in patients with severe COVID-19 infection. Close monitoring of these parameters and early intervention may improve survival rates and outcomes.
1 January 2023 in Turkish Journal of Trauma and Emergency Surgery
BACKGROUND: Sigmoid volvulus is a pathology that can be mortal because it is frequently encountered in elderly patients. In case of bowel gangrene, mortality and morbidity increase further. We planned a retrospective study, in which the effectiveness of the model was evaluated by creating a model that aims to predict whether intestinal gangrene is present in patients with sigmoid volvulus only by blood tests and thus to quickly guide treatment methods.METHODS: In addition to demographic data such as age and gender, laboratory values such as white blood cell, C-reactive protein (CRP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), potassium, and colonoscopic findings and whether there was gangrene in the colon during the operation were evaluated retrospectively. In the analysis of the data, independent risk factors were determined by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyzes as well as Mann-Whitney U and Chi-square tests. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed for statistically significant continuous numerical data, and cutoff values were determined and Malatya Volvulus Gangrene Model (MVGM) was created. The effectiveness of the created model was again evaluated by ROC analysis.RESULTS: Of the 74 patients included in the study, 59 (79.7%) were male. The median age of the population was 74 (19-88), and gangrene was detected in 21 (28.37%) patients at surgery. In univariate analyzes, leukocytes 12000/mm3 (OR: 10.737; CI 95%: 2.797-41.211, p=0.001), CRP >= 0.71 mg/dl (OR: 8.107 CI 95%: 2.520-26.082, p= 3.85 mmoL/L (OR: 3.889; 95% CI): 1.333-11.345, p=0.013), and LDH >= 288 U/L (OR: 3.889; CI 95%: 1.333-11.345, p=0.013), whereas, in multivariate analyzes, only CRP >= 0.71 mg/dL (OR: 3.965; CI 95%: 1.071-15.462, p=0.047) was found to be an independent risk factor for bowel gangrene. The strength of MVGM was AUC 0.836 (0.737-0.936). In addition, it was observed that the probability of bowel gangrene increased approximately 10 times if MVGM was >= 7 (OR: 9.846; 95% CI: 3.016-32.145, p<0.0001).CONCLUSION: Besides being non-invasive compared to the colonoscopic procedure, MVGM is a useful method for detecting bowel gangrene. In addition, it will guide the clinician in taking the patients with intestinal loop gangrene to emergency surgery without wasting time in the treatment steps, as well as avoiding complications that may occur during colonoscopy. In this way, we think that morbidity and mortality rates can be reduced.