The management of plantation forests using precision forestry requires advanced inventory methods. Unmanned aerial vehicle laser scanning (ULS) offers a cost-effective approach to accurately estimate forest structural attributes at both plot and individual tree levels. We examined the utility of ULS data collected from a radiata pine stand for tree detection and prediction of diameter at breast height (DBH) and stem volume, using data thinned to 13-point densities (ranging from 10–12,200 points/m²). These datasets were created using a DTM with the highest pulse density and DTMs that used the native decimated point clouds. Models of DBH were constructed using partial least squares (PLS) and random forest (RF) from seven classes of metrics that characterized the horizontal and vertical structure of the canopy. Individual tree segmentation was consistently accurate across the 13-point densities and was insensitive to DTM type (F1 scores > 0.96). Predictions of DBH using PLS models were consistently more accurate than RF models and accuracy was insensitive to the DTM type. Using data from the native DTMs, DBH estimation using PLS had the lowest RMSE of 1.624 cm (R² of 0.756) at a point density of 12,200 points/m². Stem volume predictions made using PLS predictions of DBH and height from the ULS had the lowest RMSE of 0.0418 m³ (R² of 0.792) at 12,200 points/m². The RMSE values for DBH and volume remained relatively stable from 12,200 to between 750 and 400 points/m², with reductions in accuracy occurring as point density declined below this threshold. Overall, these findings have significant implications, particularly for the precise estimation of DBH and stem volume at the individual tree level. They demonstrate the potential of cost-effective ULS sensors for rapid and frequent plantation forest assessment, thereby enhancing the application of light detection and ranging (LiDAR) technology in plantation forest management.

Red needle cast (RNC), mainly caused by Phytophthora pluvialis, is a very damaging disease of the widely grown species radiata pine within New Zealand. Using a combination of satellite imagery and weather data, a novel methodology was developed to pre-visually predict the incidence of RNC on radiata pine within the Gisborne region of New Zealand over a five-year period from 2019 to 2023. Sentinel-2 satellite imagery was used to classify areas within the region as being disease-free or showing RNC expression from the difference in the red/green index (R/G_diff) during a disease-free time of the year and the time of maximum disease expression in the upper canopy (early spring–September). Within these two classes, 1976 plots were extracted, and a classification model was used to predict disease incidence from mean monthly weather data for key variables during the 11 months prior to disease expression. The variables in the final random forest model included solar radiation, relative humidity, rainfall, and the maximum air temperature recorded during mid–late summer, which provided a pre-visual prediction of the disease 7–8 months before its peak expression. Using a hold-out test dataset, the final random forest model had an accuracy of 89% and an F1 score of 0.89. This approach can be used to mitigate the impact of RNC by focusing on early surveillance and treatment measures.

This study demonstrates a framework for using high-resolution satellite imagery to automatically map and monitor outbreaks of red needle cast (Phytophthora pluvialis) in planted pine forests. This methodology was tested on five WorldView satellite scenes collected over two sites in the Gisborne Region of New Zealand’s North Island. All scenes were acquired in September: four scenes were acquired yearly (2018–2020 and 2022) for Wharerata, while one more was obtained in 2019 for Tauwhareparae. Training areas were selected for each scene using manual delineation combined with pixel-level thresholding rules based on band reflectance values and vegetation indices (selected empirically) to produce ‘pure’ training pixels for the different classes. A leave-one-scene-out, pixel-based random forest classification approach was then used to classify all images into (i) healthy pine forest, (ii) unhealthy pine forest or (iii) background. The overall accuracy of the models on the internal validation dataset ranged between 92.1% and 93.6%. Overall accuracies calculated for the left-out scenes ranged between 76.3% and 91.1% (mean overall accuracy of 83.8%), while user’s and producer’s accuracies across the three classes were 60.2–99.0% (71.4–91.8% for unhealthy pine forest) and 54.4–100% (71.9–97.2% for unhealthy pine forest), respectively. This work demonstrates the possibility of using a random forest classifier trained on a set of satellite scenes for the classification of healthy and unhealthy pine forest in new and completely independent scenes. This paves the way for a scalable and largely autonomous forest health monitoring system based on annual acquisitions of high-resolution satellite imagery at the time of peak disease expression, while greatly reducing the need for manual interpretation and delineation.

The rapid development of UAV-LiDAR and data processing capabilities is likely to enable accurate individual-tree inventories in the near future, requiring few on-ground calibration measurements. Using data collected from 20 radiata pine trials dispersed across New Zealand, the objective of this study was to determine the accuracy of high-density UAV-LiDAR for the prediction of tree diameter and volume, under a range of data calibration scenarios. Using all measurements for the calibration (a range of 335–4703 tree measurements across the 20 sites), accurate random forest models for each of the 20 sites were created from a diverse range of LiDAR metrics that characterised the horizontal and vertical structures of the canopy. Averaged across the 20 sites, predictions had a mean R² and relative RMSE (rRMSE) of, respectively, 0.713 and 9.699% for the tree diameter and 0.746 and 19.57% for the tree volume. Reductions in the numbers of calibration trees per trial had little effect on model accuracy until only 300 trees/site were used; however, accurate, unbiased predictions were still possible using as few as 100 trees/site. More generally, applicable random forest models for both tree dimensions were constructed by collating all of the data and tested using leave-one-site-out cross-validation to determine the accuracy of the model predictions when calibration measurements were not available. The predictions using this approach were reasonable but less accurate and more biased than with the use of calibration data, with a mean R² and rRMSE of, respectively, 0.631 and 15.12% for the tree diameter and 0.631 and 35.6% for the volume. Our research aims to facilitate the transition from a plot-based to tree-level inventory in plantation forests and contribute to the future development of a generalised model that could accurately predict tree dimensions from UAV-LiDAR, relying on minimal field measurements.