Fancy Cheptonui

Ms. Fancy Cheptonui

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

5Years (2022-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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29 September 2022 in Sensors
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SRStuart N. Riddick
Stuart N. Riddick
FCFancy Cheptonui
Fancy Cheptonui
KYKexin Yuan
Kexin Yuan
MMMercy Mbua
Mercy Mbua
RDRachel Day
Rachel Day
DZDaniel Zimmerle
Daniel Zimmerle
Methane (CH4), a powerful greenhouse gas (GHG), has been identified as a key target for emission reduction in the Paris agreement, but it is not currently clear where efforts should be focused to make the greatest impact. Currently, activity data and standard emission factors (EF) are used to generate GHG emission inventories. Many of the EFs are globally uniform and do not account for regional variability in industrial or agricultural practices and/or regulation. Regional EFs can be derived from top–down emissions measurements and used to make bespoke regional GHG emission inventories that account for geopolitical and social variability. However, most large-scale top–down approaches campaigns require significant investment. To address this, lower-cost driving surveys (DS) have been identified as a viable alternative to more established methods. DSs can take top–down measurements of many emission sources in a relatively short period of time, albeit with a higher uncertainty. To investigate the use of a portable measurement system, a 2260 km DS was conducted throughout the Denver–Julesburg Basin (DJB). The DJB covers an area of 8000 km2 north of Denver, CO and is densely populated with CH4 emission sources, including oil and gas (O and G) operations, agricultural operations (AGOs), lakes and reservoirs. During the DS, 157 individual CH4 emission sources were detected; 51%, 43% and 4% of sources were AGOs, O and G operations, and natural sources, respectively. Methane emissions from each source were quantified using downwind concentration and meteorological data and AGOs and O and G operations represented nearly all the CH4 emissions in the DJB, accounting for 54% and 37% of the total emission, respectively. Operations with similar emission sources were grouped together and average facility emission estimates were generated. For agricultural sources, emissions from feedlot cattle, dairy cows and sheep were estimated at 5, 31 and 1 g CH4 head−1 h−1, all of which agreed with published values taken from focused measurement campaigns. Similarly, for O and G average emissions for well pads, compressor stations and gas processing plants (0.5, 14 and 110 kg CH4 facility−1 h−1) were in reasonable agreement with emission estimates from intensive measurement campaigns. A comparison of our basin wide O and G emissions to measurements taken a decade ago show a decrease of a factor of three, which can feasibly be explained by changes to O and G regulation over the past 10 years, while emissions from AGOs have remained constant over the same time period. Our data suggest that DSs could be a low-cost alternative to traditional measurement campaigns and used to screen many emission sources within a region to derive representative regionally specific and time-sensitive EFs. The key benefit of the DS is that many regions can be screened and emission reduction targets identified where regional EFs are noticeably larger than the regional, national or global averages.

29 September 2025 in Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
FCFancy Cheptonui
Fancy Cheptonui
EEEthan Emerson
Ethan Emerson
CIChiemezie Ilonze
Chiemezie Ilonze
RDRachel Day
Rachel Day
ELEzra Levin
Ezra Levin
DZDaniel Zimmerle
Daniel Zimmerle
Continuous monitoring (CM) solutions can facilitate faster detection and repair of emissions compared to traditional survey methods. This study tested 13 CM solutions over 12 weeks using single-blind controlled testing. Controlled release rates ranged from 0.08 to 6.75 kg CH4 h−1 and lasted 18 min to 8 h. Six solutions demonstrated 90% method detection limits (DL90s) ranging from 0.5 [0.3, 0.6] kg CH4 h−1 to 6.7 [5.9, 8.0] kg CH4 h−1. Of the 6 solutions, 5 had low False Positive (FP) rates (7.8%–18.9%), and 4 had low False Negative (FN) rates (8.0%–34.1%). Similar to Ilonze et al., the results show that the tested solutions balance method sensitivity with low FP and FN rates. All scanning/imaging solutions achieved high localization precision and accuracy (≥40%) at the equipment unit level. Single quantification estimates exhibited high relative quantification errors, ranging from 33 [0.9, 66]%, 95% confidence interval (CI) to 1326 [1003, 1648]%, 95% CI for small emissions (between 0.1 and 1 kg CH4 h−1) and from 3 [−20, 26]%, 95% CI to 3578 [−2832, 9988]%, 95% CI for large emissions (>1 kg CH4 h−1). The mean detection time for all solutions ranged from 5 h to 5 days. Relative to previous studies, errors in quantification estimates decreased, as did FN and FP rates, with improved DL90s for 2 of the 4 retested solutions. However, the mean detection times increased for 2 solutions, remained constant for one solution, and decreased for 1 of the 4 retested solutions. These findings highlight that continuous, rigorous testing enhances solution performance, with notable improvements observed across multiple testing programs using the same test protocol.

24 October 2023 in Gas Science and Engineering
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
MMMercy Mbua
Mercy Mbua
SRStuart N. Riddick
Stuart N. Riddick
SHANRU TIANSHANRU TIAN
SHANRU TIAN
FCFancy Cheptonui
Fancy Cheptonui
CHCade Houlihan
Cade Houlihan
DZDaniel J. Zimmerle
Daniel J. Zimmerle

21 March 2025 in Sensors
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SRStuart N. Riddick
Stuart N. Riddick
JRJohn C. Riddick
John C. Riddick
Elijah KiplimoElijah Kiplimo
Elijah Kiplimo
BRBryan Rainwater
Bryan Rainwater
MMMercy Mbua
Mercy Mbua
DZDaniel Zimmerle
Daniel Zimmerle
The quantification of methane concentrations in air is essential for the quantification of methane emissions, which in turn is necessary to determine absolute emissions and the efficacy of emission mitigation strategies. These are essential if countries are to meet climate goals. Large-scale deployment of methane analyzers across millions of emission sites is prohibitively expensive, and lower-cost instrumentation has been recently developed as an alternative. Currently, it is unclear how cheaper instrumentation will affect measurement resolution or accuracy. To test this, the Wireless Autonomous Transportable Methane Emission Reporting System (WATCH4ERS) has been developed, comprising four commercially available sensing technologies: metal oxide (MOx,), Non-dispersion Infrared (NDIR), integrated infrared (INIR), and tunable diode laser absorption spectrometer (TDLAS). WATCHERS is the accumulated knowledge of several long-term methane measurement projects at Colorado State University’s Methane Emission Technology Evaluation Center (METEC), and this study describes the integration of these sensors into a single unit and reports initial instrument response to calibration procedures and controlled release experiments. Specifically, this paper aims to describe the development of the WATCH4ERS unit, report initial sensor responses, and describe future research goals. Meanwhile, future work will use data gathered by multiple WATCH4ERS units to 1. better understand the cost–benefit balance of methane sensors, and 2. identify how decreasing instrumentation costs could increase deployment coverage and therefore inform large-scale methane monitoring strategies. Both calibration and response experiments indicate the INIR has little practical use for measuring methane concentrations less than 500 ppm. The MOx sensor is shown to have a logarithmic response to methane concentration change between background and 600 ppm but it is strongly suggested that passively sampling MOx sensors cannot respond fast enough to report concentrations that change in a sub-minute time frame. The NDIR sensor reported a linear change to methane concentration between background and 600 ppm, although there was a noticeable lag in reporting changing concentration, especially at higher values, and individual peaks could be observed throughout the experiment even when the plumes were released 5 s apart. The TDLAS sensor reported all changes in concentration but remains prohibitively expensive. Our findings suggest that each sensor technology could be optimized by either operational design or deployment location to quantify methane emissions. The WATCH4ERS units will be deployed in real-world environments to investigate the utility of each in the future.

12 October 2023 in Sensors
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
FCFancy Cheptonui
Fancy Cheptonui
SRStuart N. Riddick
Stuart N. Riddick
AHAnna L. Hodshire
Anna L. Hodshire
MMMercy Mbua
Mercy Mbua
KSKathleen M. Smits
Kathleen M. Smits
DZDaniel Zimmerle
Daniel Zimmerle
Natural gas (NG) leaks from below-ground pipelines pose safety, economic, and environmental hazards. Despite walking surveys using handheld methane (CH4) detectors to locate leaks, accurately triaging the severity of a leak remains challenging. It is currently unclear whether CH4 detectors used in walking surveys could be used to identify large leaks that require an immediate response. To explore this, we used above-ground downwind CH4 concentration measurements made during controlled emission experiments over a range of environmental conditions. These data were then used as the input to a novel modeling framework, the ESCAPE−1 model, to estimate the below-ground leak rates. Using 10-minute averaged CH4 mixing/meteorological data and filtering out wind speed < 2 m s−1/unstable atmospheric data, the ESCAPE−1 model estimates small leaks (0.2 kg CH4 h−1) and medium leaks (0.8 kg CH4 h−1) with a bias of −85%/+100% and −50%/+64%, respectively. Longer averaging (≥3 h) results in a 55% overestimation for small leaks and a 6% underestimation for medium leaks. These results suggest that as the wind speed increases or the atmosphere becomes more stable, the accuracy and precision of the leak rate calculated by the ESCAPE−1 model decrease. With an uncertainty of ±55%, our results show that CH4 mixing ratios measured using industry-standard detectors could be used to prioritize leak repairs.

29 April 2025 in ChemRxiv
Verified
Preprint
Open access
PDF file
FCFancy Cheptonui
Fancy Cheptonui
EEEthan Emerson
Ethan Emerson
CICHIEMEZIE ILONZE
CHIEMEZIE ILONZE
RDRachel Day
Rachel Day
ELEzra Levin
Ezra Levin
DZDaniel Zimmerle
Daniel Zimmerle
Continuous Monitoring (CM) solutions have been identified as a method to address methane emissions at oil and gas (O&G) facilities, as these solutions can facilitate faster emission detection and repair compared to traditional survey methods. This study tested 13 CM solutions over 12 weeks using single-blind controlled testing. Controlled release rates ranged from 0.08 to 6.75 kg CH4/hr and lasted 18 minutes to 8 hours. Six solutions demonstrated 90 % method detection limits (DL90s) within the range of controlled releases, from 0.5 [0.3, 0.6] kg CH4/hr to 6.7 [5.9, 8.0] kg CH4/hr. Of the six solutions, four had False Positive (FP) rates between 7.8% and 14.0% (less than 15%), and four had False Negative rates (FN) of 8.0% to 34.1% (less than 50%). Compared with Ilonze et al., these results show retested solutions balancing method sensitivity with FP and FN rates. All scanning/imaging solutions had high localization (≥ 40%) precision and accuracy to the equipment unit. Eleven of the 13 solutions were tested for quantification. Single quantification estimates exhibited high relative quantification errors, outside the -90 % to 1000% range. The mean quantification error ranged from 33 [0.9, 66] %, 95% CI to 1326 [1003, 1648] %, 95 % CI for small emissions, between 0.1 and 1 kg CH4/hr, and from 3 [-20, 26] %, 95% CI to 3578 [-2832, 9988] %, 95% CI for larger emissions, greater than 1 kg CH4/hr. There were 3 and 9 solutions in the small and large emissions categories, respectively, that had less than 100% relative quantification error. Relative to previous studies, errors in quantification estimates decreased, as did FN and FP rates, with improved DL90s for two of the four retested solutions. These findings highlight that continuous, rigorous testing enhances solution performance, with notable improvements observed across multiple testing programs using the same test protocol.