Typhoons and typhoon waves can cause disasters in coastal areas around the world. The Taiwan Strait often experiences typhoons, especially in summer. Numerical models have been adopted to predict typhoons and reduce losses. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is widely used in typhoon simulations, and the Simulating WAves Nearshore (SWAN) model performs well in wave simulations. However, significant uncertainty remains in terms of choosing suitable WRF physical parameterizations in different situations. To evaluate the effect of WRF physical parameterizations on wind and wave simulations, 27 simulation experiments were designed. Three typhoon events (Goni, Dujuan, and Meranti) with different tracks that influenced the Taiwan Strait were simulated. Three parameters (wind speed, wind direction and significant wave height) were assessed using Taylor diagrams, and it was found that the best simulation experiment changed according to typhoon tracks and physical parameters. In wind speed simulation, the best simulation experiment is 12 for typhoon Dujuan and 19 for typhoon Goni and Meranti. From the perspective of wind direction simulation, experiments 26, 23, and 2 performed best for typhoons Goni, Dujuan, and Meranti. And experiments 19, 1, and 20 had the best performances in significant wave height simulation for typhoons Goni, Dujuan, and Meranti. The WRF-SWAN model using the best simulation experiment reduced the error and exhibited good performance in the wind and wave simulations. Skill scores of three parameters were all over 70 for typhoon Goni and 80 for typhoon Dujuan and Meranti. The applicability of the best simulation experiments was demonstrated in typhoon simulations with similar tracks. The accuracy of the wave simulation depended on wind speed, wind direction, and their interaction. In addition, a scheme’s sensitivity changed with different typhoon tracks. This study provides references for designing physical parameterizations for use with the WRF-SWAN model, which may help to simulate typhoons and typhoon waves in the Taiwan Strait more accurately in the future.
As extreme forms of tropical cyclones (TCs), typhoons pose significant threats to both human society and the natural environment. To better understand and predict their behavior, scientists have relied on numerical simulations. Current typhoon modeling primarily falls into two categories: (1) complex simulations based on fluid dynamics and thermodynamics, and (2) empirical parameterized models. Most comparative studies on these models have focused on wind speed below 50 m/s, with fewer studies addressing high wind speed (above 50 m/s). In this study, we design and compare four different simulation approaches to model two super typhoons: Typhoon Surigae (2102) and Typhoon Nepartak (1601). These approaches include: (1) The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulation driven by NCEP Final Operational Global Analysis data (FNL), (2) WRF simulation driven by the fifth generation of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis data (ERA5), (3) the empirical parameterized Holland model, and (4) the empirical parameterized Jelesnianski model. The simulated wind fields were compared with the measured wind data from The Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) platform, and the resulting wind fields were then used as inputs for the Simulating WAves Nearshore (SWAN) model to simulate typhoon-induced waves. Our findings are as follows: (1) for high wind speeds, the performance of the empirical models surpasses that of the WRF simulations; (2) using more accurate driving wind data improves the WRF model’s performance in simulating typhoon wind speeds, and WRF simulations excel in representing wind fields in the outer regions of the typhoon; (3) careful adjustment of the maximum wind speed radius parameter is essential for improving the accuracy of the empirical models.
The terrain, such as Taiwan Island, have been shown to have complex effects on typhoons and the associated typhoon waves. Terrain effects change with typhoon tracks. In this study, three types of typhoon tracks (northern, middle and southern) were defined according to the relationship between the typhoon tracks and Taiwan Island. Typhoons on these three tracks and typhoon waves were simulated using the Weather Research and Forecasting–Simulating Waves Nearshore model. In each type of typhoon, a control case without the Taiwan topography was simulated to compare with real cases. The results showed that typhoons on different tracks were affected by the terrain of Taiwan Island in different ways. Taiwan Island had weakening, decelerating and deflective effects on typhoons. The ranking for the weakening effect was middle track (81%) > southern track (69%) > northern track (3%). The decelerating effect was 7% in the northern track and 25% in the southern track. The deflective effect of the terrain makes typhoons on the northern (southern) track deflect toward the south (north). When a typhoon on a middle track passed over Taiwan Island, a new center of low pressure would replace the former center and make the track discontinuous. In addition, the influence of typhoons on regions near Taiwan Island changed with the typhoon’s tracks. The influence ranking of typhoons in Taiwan Island was the middle track > southern track > northern track, which was consistent with that of typhoons in the Taiwan Strait and opposite to that of typhoons in Fujian Province. The influence ranking of typhoons on the Taiwan Strait was the opposite of the typhoon intensity ranking, which suggests that the intensities of wind and waves in the strait were more related to typhoon tracks than typhoon intensity. The variations in the significant wave height were similar to those of the wind speed, but there was a time lag (2 h) between them due to the wave growth process and swells. In addition, the significant wave height distribution sometimes differed from the wind speed distribution under the influence of swells and terrain.
The climatological monthly gridded World Ocean Atlas 2013 temperature and salinity data and satellite altimeter sea level anomaly data are used to build two altimeter-derived high-resolution real-time upper layer thickness products based on a highly simplified two-layer ocean model of the South China Sea. One product uses the proportional relationship between the sea level anomaly and upper layer thickness anomaly. The other one adds a modified component ( ) to account for the barotropic and thermodynamic processes that are neglected in the former product. The upper layer thickness, in this work, represents the depth of the main pycnocline, which is defined as the thickness from the sea surface to the 25 kg/m3 isopycnal depth. The mean upper layer thickness in the semi-closed South China Sea is ~120 m and the mean reduced gravity is ~0.073 m/s2, which is about one order of magnitude larger than the value obtained in the open deep ocean. The long-term temperature observations from three moored buoys, the conductivity-temperature-depth profiles from three joint cruises, and the Argo measurements from 2006 to 2015 are used to compare and evaluate these two upper layer thickness products. It shows that adding the component is necessary to simulate the upper layer thickness in some situations, especially in summer and fall in the northern South China Sea.
Synthetic aperture radar (SAR) has been widely used for observing sea-surface wind fields (SSWFs), with many scholars having evaluated the performance of SAR in SSWF retrieval. Due to the large systems and high costs of traditional SAR, a tendency towards the development of smaller and more cost-effective SAR systems has emerged. However, to date, there has been no evaluation of the SSWF retrieval performance of miniaturized SAR systems. This study utilized 1053 HiSea-1 and Chaohu-1 miniaturized SAR images covering the Southeast China Sea to retrieve SSWFs. After a quality control procedure, the retrieved winds were subsequently compared with ERA5, buoy, and ASCAT data. The retrieved wind speeds demonstrated root mean square errors (RMSEs) of 2.42 m/s, 1.64 m/s, and 3.29 m/s, respectively, while the mean bias errors (MBEs) were found to be −0.44 m/s, 1.08 m/s, and −1.65 m/s, respectively. Furthermore, the retrieved wind directions exhibited RMSEs of 11.5°, 36.8°, and 41.7°, with corresponding MBEs of −1.3°, 2.4°, and −8.8°, respectively. The results indicate that HiSea-1 and Chaohu-1 SAR satellites have the potential and practicality for SSWF retrieval, validating the technical indicators and performance requirements implemented during the satellites’ design phase.
Synthetic-Aperture Radar (SAR) has emerged as an important tool for monitoring tropical cyclones (TCs) due to its high spatial resolution and cloud-penetrating capability. Recent advancements in SAR technology have led to smaller and lighter satellites, yet few studies have evaluated their effectiveness in TC monitoring. This paper employs an algorithm for automatic TC center location, involving three stages: coarse estimation from a whole SAR image; precise estimation from a sub-SAR image; and final identification of the center using the lowest Normalized Radar Cross-Section (NRCS) value within a smaller sub-SAR image. Using three wide-swath miniaturized SAR images of TC Noru (2022), and TCs Doksuri and Koinu (2023), the algorithm’s accuracy was validated by comparing estimated TC center positions with visually located data. For TC Noru, the distances for the three stages were 21.42 km, 14.39 km, and 8.19 km; for TC Doksuri—14.36 km, 20.48 km, and 17.10 km; and for TC Koinu—47.82 km, 31.59 km, and 5.42 km. The results demonstrate the potential of miniaturized SAR in TC monitoring.