REMix is a framework for modeling energy systems of almost any temporal, spatial, and technological scale and detail. It can be used to model processes of extraction, storage, conversion, transfer and demand for any commodity, usually representing energy carriers such as electricity, gases, or heat, and to flexibly link them with each other. All processes can be characterized by indicators such as costs or CO 2 emissions. The mathematical core of the framework allows integer and continuous decision variables and the objective function includes one or more indicators. Energy system infrastructures can be considered for both economic dispatch and capacity expansion planning along either single target years or full infrastructure pathways. Research subjects are usually regional to continental systems, and their transformation to a climate-neutral energy supply.
We present an energy transition pathway constrained by a total CO2 budget of 7 Gt allocated to the German energy system after 2020, the Budget Scenario (BS). We apply a normative backcasting approach for scenario building based on historical data and assumptions from existing scenario studies. The modeling approach combines a comprehensive energy system model (ESM) with REMix—a cost optimization model for power and heat that explicitly incorporates sector coupling. To achieve the necessary CO2 reduction, the scenario focuses on electrifying all end use sectors until 2030, adding 1.5–2 million electric vehicles to the road per year. In buildings, 400,000–500,000 heat pumps would be installed annually by 2030, and the share of district heating would double until 2050. In the scenario, coal needs to be phased out by 2030. Wind and Photovoltaic (PV) capacities would need to more than double to 290 GW by 2030 and reach 500 GW by 2050. The BS results indicate that a significant acceleration of the energy transition is necessary before 2030 and that this higher pace must be maintained thereafter until 2050.
In which way, and in which sectors, will renewable energy be integrated in the German Energy System by 2030, 2040, and 2050? How can the resulting energy system be characterised following a −95% greenhouse gas emission reduction scenario? Which role will hydrogen play? To address these research questions, techno-economic energy system modelling was performed. Evaluation of the resulting operation of energy technologies was carried out from a system and a business point of view. Special consideration of gas technologies, such as hydrogen production, transport, and storage, was taken as a large-scale and long-term energy storage option and key enabler for the decarbonisation of the non-electric sectors. The broad set of results gives insight into the entangled interactions of the future energy technology portfolio and its operation within a coupled energy system. Amongst other energy demands, CO2 emissions, hydrogen production, and future power plant capacities are presented. One main conclusion is that integrating the first elements of a large-scale hydrogen infrastructure into the German energy system, already, by 2030 is necessary for ensuring the supply of upscaling demands across all sectors. Within the regulatory regime of 2020, it seems that this decision may come too late, which jeopardises the achievement of transition targets within the horizon 2050.
This paper examines potential cost savings attained through the flexible operation of water treatment plants and drinking water pumping and the benefits gained by investing in extended water storage capacities that enhance flexibility. An existing plant in South Germany serves as an example. Mixed-integer linear programming is used to model the plant and the electricity procurement on the German spot market while ensuring the security of supply. Cost optimization considering the different cost components reveals potential cost savings through flexible operation. The paper evaluates the benefits of building additional water reservoirs and rates the financial effects of the measures used to enhance the flexibility of water pumping and treatment plants.
31 August 2024 in Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition
Energy system modeling supports the identification of the optimal technology mix to achieve decarbonization targets across multiple sectors. Especially when sector coupling is considered for future technology landscapes, the large solution space leads to a complex optimization problem in terms of computational feasibility and data requirements. The authors identify a research gap in developing an open-source model structure with consideration of the relevant future technologies of power, heat, other conversions, transport, and industry defined with a new level of detail in a sector-coupled energy world and in including detailed insights into the accompanying definition process. A strong focus is set on the transparency and reproducibility of the provided open-source structure and its flexible and consistent application to different framework families to foster the ease of applicability of this work. The paper first gives a detailed description of the model base, including an overview of the model frame definition process, the core adjustments to model sector coupling appropriately, and the measures to make the resulting problem computationally feasible. The core result of this work is the presentation of a detailed model structure to model sector coupling for a German energy system, yielding approximately 2000 processes that characterize the heterogeneous and technology-open landscape of existing and possible future technologies across relevant energy sectors. This supports energy system modelers in understanding and reproducing energy system models based on open-source data and thereby tries to accelerate the research on sector coupling and its role in the energy transition.