Várkonyi-Kóczy Annamária

Prof. Dr. Várkonyi-Kóczy Annamária

1. Institute of Automation, Óbuda University, Budapest 1034, Hungary; 2.Department of Mathematics and Informatics, J. Selye University, 945 01 Komarno, Slovakia
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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

32Years (1995-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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4 April 2019 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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Amir MosaviAmir Mosavi
Amir Mosavi
Mohsen SalimiMohsen Salimi
Mohsen Salimi
SASina Faizollahzadeh ardabili
Sina Faizollahzadeh ardabili
Timon RabczukTimon Rabczuk
Timon Rabczuk
SSShahaboddin Shamshirband
Shahaboddin Shamshirband
Várkonyi-Kóczy AnnamáriaVárkonyi-Kóczy Annamária
Várkonyi-Kóczy Annamária
Machine learning (ML) models have been widely used in the modeling, design and prediction in energy systems. During the past two decades, there has been a dramatic increase in the advancement and application of various types of ML models for energy systems. This paper presents the state of the art of ML models used in energy systems along with a novel taxonomy of models and applications. Through a novel methodology, ML models are identified and further classified according to the ML modeling technique, energy type, and application area. Furthermore, a comprehensive review of the literature leads to an assessment and performance evaluation of the ML models and their applications, and a discussion of the major challenges and opportunities for prospective research. This paper further concludes that there is an outstanding rise in the accuracy, robustness, precision and generalization ability of the ML models in energy systems using hybrid ML models. Hybridization is reported to be effective in the advancement of prediction models, particularly for renewable energy systems, e.g., solar energy, wind energy, and biofuels. Moreover, the energy demand prediction using hybrid models of ML have highly contributed to the energy efficiency and therefore energy governance and sustainability.

1 October 2020 in Algorithms
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SASina Faizollahzadeh ardabili
Sina Faizollahzadeh ardabili
Amir MosaviAmir Mosavi
Amir Mosavi
Pedram GhamisiPedram Ghamisi
Pedram Ghamisi
FFFerdinand Filip
Ferdinand Filip
Várkonyi-Kóczy AnnamáriaVárkonyi-Kóczy Annamária
Várkonyi-Kóczy Annamária
PAPeter Atkinson
Peter Atkinson
Several outbreak prediction models for COVID-19 are being used by officials around the world to make informed decisions and enforce relevant control measures. Among the standard models for COVID-19 global pandemic prediction, simple epidemiological and statistical models have received more attention by authorities, and these models are popular in the media. Due to a high level of uncertainty and lack of essential data, standard models have shown low accuracy for long-term prediction. Although the literature includes several attempts to address this issue, the essential generalization and robustness abilities of existing models need to be improved. This paper presents a comparative analysis of machine learning and soft computing models to predict the COVID-19 outbreak as an alternative to susceptible–infected–recovered (SIR) and susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed (SEIR) models. Among a wide range of machine learning models investigated, two models showed promising results (i.e., multi-layered perceptron, MLP; and adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system, ANFIS). Based on the results reported here, and due to the highly complex nature of the COVID-19 outbreak and variation in its behavior across nations, this study suggests machine learning as an effective tool to model the outbreak. This paper provides an initial benchmarking to demonstrate the potential of machine learning for future research. This paper further suggests that a genuine novelty in outbreak prediction can be realized by integrating machine learning and SEIR models.

4 January 2020 in Atmosphere
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SSSevda Shabani
Sevda Shabani
SSSaeed Samadianfard
Saeed Samadianfard
Mohammad Taghi SattariMohammad Taghi Sattari
Mohammad Taghi Sattari
Amir MosaviAmir Mosavi
Amir Mosavi
SSShahaboddin Shamshirband
Shahaboddin Shamshirband
Várkonyi-Kóczy AnnamáriaVárkonyi-Kóczy Annamária
Várkonyi-Kóczy Annamária
Evaporation is a very important process; it is one of the most critical factors in agricultural, hydrological, and meteorological studies. Due to the interactions of multiple climatic factors, evaporation is considered as a complex and nonlinear phenomenon to model. Thus, machine learning methods have gained popularity in this realm. In the present study, four machine learning methods of Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Regression (SVR) were used to predict the pan evaporation (PE). Meteorological data including PE, temperature (T), relative humidity (RH), wind speed (W), and sunny hours (S) collected from 2011 through 2017. The accuracy of the studied methods was determined using the statistical indices of Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), correlation coefficient (R) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Furthermore, the Taylor charts utilized for evaluating the accuracy of the mentioned models. The results of this study showed that at Gonbad-e Kavus, Gorgan and Bandar Torkman stations, GPR with RMSE of 1.521 mm/day, 1.244 mm/day, and 1.254 mm/day, KNN with RMSE of 1.991 mm/day, 1.775 mm/day, and 1.577 mm/day, RF with RMSE of 1.614 mm/day, 1.337 mm/day, and 1.316 mm/day, and SVR with RMSE of 1.55 mm/day, 1.262 mm/day, and 1.275 mm/day had more appropriate performances in estimating PE values. It was found that GPR for Gonbad-e Kavus Station with input parameters of T, W and S and GPR for Gorgan and Bandar Torkmen stations with input parameters of T, RH, W and S had the most accurate predictions and were proposed for precise estimation of PE. The findings of the current study indicated that the PE values may be accurately estimated with few easily measured meteorological parameters.

15 October 2019 in Energies
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Journal Article
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Farshid AramFarshid Aram
Farshid Aram
ESEbrahim Solgi
Ebrahim Solgi
EHEster Higueras
Ester Higueras
Amir MosaviAmir Mosavi
Amir Mosavi
Várkonyi-Kóczy AnnamáriaVárkonyi-Kóczy Annamária
Várkonyi-Kóczy Annamária
This empirical study investigates large urban park cooling effects on the thermal comfort of occupants in the vicinity of the main central park, located in Madrid, Spain. Data were gathered during hot summer days, using mobile observations and a questionnaire. The results showed that the cooling effect of this urban park of 125 ha area at a distance of 150 m could reduce air temperatures by an average of 0.63 °C and 1.28 °C for distances of 380 m and 665 meters from the park. Moreover, the degree of the physiological equivalent temperature (PET) index at a distance of 150 meters from the park is on average 2 °C PET and 2.3 °C PET less compared to distances of 380 m and 665 m, respectively. Considering the distance from the park, the correlation between occupant perceived thermal comfort (PTC) and PET is inverse. That is, augmenting the distance from the park increases PET, while the extent of PTC reduces accordingly. The correlation between these two factors at the nearest and furthest distances from the park is meaningful (p-value < 0.05). The results also showed that large-scale urban parks generally play a significant part in creating a cognitive state of high-perceived thermal comfort spaces for residents.

14 October 2019 in Mathematics
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SSShahaboddin Shamshirband
Shahaboddin Shamshirband
MHMasoud hadipoor
Masoud hadipoor
ABAlireza Baghban
Alireza Baghban
Amir MosaviAmir Mosavi
Amir Mosavi
JBJozsef Bukor
Jozsef Bukor
Várkonyi-Kóczy AnnamáriaVárkonyi-Kóczy Annamária
Várkonyi-Kóczy Annamária
Accurate prediction of mercury content emitted from fossil-fueled power stations is of the utmost importance for environmental pollution assessment and hazard mitigation. In this paper, mercury content in the output gas of power stations’ boilers was predicted using an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) method integrated with particle swarm optimization (PSO). The input parameters of the model included coal characteristics and the operational parameters of the boilers. The dataset was collected from 82 sample points in power plants and employed to educate and examine the proposed model. To evaluate the performance of the proposed hybrid model of the ANFIS-PSO, the statistical meter of MARE% was implemented, which resulted in 0.003266 and 0.013272 for training and testing, respectively. Furthermore, relative errors between the acquired data and predicted values were between −0.25% and 0.1%, which confirm the accuracy of the model to deal non-linearity and represent the dependency of flue gas mercury content into the specifications of coal and the boiler type.

4 April 2020 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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Nader KarballaeezadehNader Karballaeezadeh
Nader Karballaeezadeh
FZFarah Zaremotekhases
Farah Zaremotekhases
SSShahaboddin Shamshirband
Shahaboddin Shamshirband
Amir MosaviAmir Mosavi
Amir Mosavi
NNNarjes Nabipour
Narjes Nabipour
Várkonyi-Kóczy AnnamáriaVárkonyi-Kóczy Annamária
Várkonyi-Kóczy Annamária
Prediction models in mobility and transportation maintenance systems have been dramatically improved by using machine learning methods. This paper proposes novel machine learning models for an intelligent road inspection. The traditional road inspection systems based on the pavement condition index (PCI) are often associated with the critical safety, energy and cost issues. Alternatively, the proposed models utilize surface deflection data from falling weight deflectometer (FWD) tests to predict the PCI. Machine learning methods are the single multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and radial basis function (RBF) neural networks as well as their hybrids, i.e., Levenberg–Marquardt (MLP-LM), scaled conjugate gradient (MLP-SCG), imperialist competitive (RBF-ICA), and genetic algorithms (RBF-GA). Furthermore, the committee machine intelligent systems (CMIS) method was adopted to combine the results and improve the accuracy of the modeling. The results of the analysis have been verified through using four criteria of average percent relative error (APRE), average absolute percent relative error (AAPRE), root mean square error (RMSE) and standard error (SE). The CMIS model outperforms other models with the promising results of APRE = 2.3303, AAPRE = 11.6768, RMSE = 12.0056 and SD = 0.0210.