Air pollution monitoring is constantly increasing, giving more and more attention to its consequences on human health. Since Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and sulfur dioxide (SO2) are the major pollutants, various models have been developed on predicting their potential damages. Nevertheless, providing precise predictions is almost impossible. In this study, a new hybrid intelligent model based on long short-term memory (LSTM) and multi-verse optimization algorithm (MVO) has been developed to predict and analysis the air pollution obtained from Combined Cycle Power Plants. In the proposed model, long short-term memory model is a forecaster engine to predict the amount of produced NO2 and SO2 by the Combined Cycle Power Plant, where the MVO algorithm is used to optimize the LSTM parameters in order to achieve a lower forecasting error. In addition, in order to evaluate the proposed model performance, the model has been applied using real data from a Combined Cycle Power Plant in Kerman, Iran. The datasets include wind speed, air temperature, NO2, and SO2 for five months (May–September 2019) with a time step of 3-h. In addition, the model has been tested based on two different types of input parameters: type (1) includes wind speed, air temperature, and different lagged values of the output variables (NO2 and SO2); type (2) includes just lagged values of the output variables (NO2 and SO2). The obtained results show that the proposed model has higher accuracy than other combined forecasting benchmark models (ENN-PSO, ENN-MVO, and LSTM-PSO) considering different network input variables. Graphic abstract
Wind turbines (WTs) are often operated in harsh and remote environments, thus making them more prone to faults and costly repairs. Additionally, the recent surge in wind farm installations have resulted in a dramatic increase in wind turbine data. Intelligent condition monitoring and fault warning systems are crucial to improving the efficiency and operation of wind farms and reducing maintenance costs. Gearbox is the major component that leads to turbine downtime. Its failures are mainly caused by the gearbox bearings. Devising condition monitoring approaches for the gearbox bearings is an effective predictive maintenance measure that can reduce downtime and cut maintenance cost. In this paper, we propose a hybrid intelligent condition monitoring and fault warning system for wind turbine’s gearbox. The proposed framework encompasses the following: a) clustering filter- (based on power, rotor speed, blade pitch angle, and wind speed signals)-using the automatic clustering model and ant bee colony optimization algorithm (ABC), b) prediction of gearbox bearing temperature and lubrication oil temperature signals- using variational mode decomposition (VMD), group method of data handling (GMDH) network, and multi-verse optimization (MVO) algorithm, and c) anomaly detection based on the Mahalanobis distances and wavelet transform denoising approach. The proposed condition monitoring system was evaluated using 10 min average SCADA datasets of two 2 MW on-shore wind turbines located in the south of Sweden. The results showed that this strategy can diagnose potential anomalies prior to failure and inhibit reporting alarms in healthy operations.
A cost-effective and efficient wind energy production trend leads to larger wind turbine generators and drive for more advanced forecast models to increase their accuracy. This paper proposes a combined forecasting model that consists of empirical mode decomposition, fuzzy group method of data handling neural network, and grey wolf optimization algorithm. A combined K-means and identifying density-based local outliers is applied to detect and clean the outliers of the raw supervisory control and data acquisition data in the proposed forecasting model. Moreover, the empirical mode decomposition is employed to decompose signals and pre-processing data. The fuzzy GMDH neural network is a forecaster engine to estimate the future amount of wind turbines energy production, where the grey wolf optimization is used to optimize the fuzzy GMDH neural network parameters in order to achieve a lower forecasting error. Moreover, the model has been applied using actual data from a pilot onshore wind farm in Sweden. The obtained results indicate that the proposed model has a higher accuracy than others in the literature and provides single and combined forecasting models in different time-steps ahead and seasons.