Agriculture has significantly aided in meeting the food needs of growing population. In addition, it has boosted economic development in irrigated regions. In this study, an assessment of the groundwater (GW) quality for agricultural land was carried out in El Kharga Oasis, Western Desert of Egypt. Several irrigation water quality indices (IWQIs) and geographic information systems (GIS) were used for the modeling development. Two machine learning (ML) models (i.e., adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and support vector machine (SVM)) were developed for the prediction of eight IWQIs, including the irrigation water quality index (IWQI), sodium adsorption ratio (SAR), soluble sodium percentage (SSP), potential salinity (PS), residual sodium carbonate index (RSC), and Kelley index (KI). The physicochemical parameters included T°, pH, EC, TDS, K⁺, Na⁺, Mg²⁺, Ca²⁺, Cl⁻, SO₄²⁻, HCO₃⁻, CO₃²⁻, and NO₃⁻, and they were measured in 140 GW wells. The hydrochemical facies of the GW resources were of Ca-Mg-SO₄, mixed Ca-Mg-Cl-SO₄, Na-Cl, Ca-Mg-HCO₃, and mixed Na-Ca-HCO₃ types, which revealed silicate weathering, dissolution of gypsum/calcite/dolomite/ halite, rock–water interactions, and reverse ion exchange processes. The IWQI, SAR, KI, and PS showed that the majority of the GW samples were categorized for irrigation purposes into no restriction (67.85%), excellent (100%), good (57.85%), and excellent to good (65.71%), respectively. Moreover, the majority of the selected samples were categorized as excellent to good and safe for irrigation according to the SSP and RSC. The performance of the simulation models was evaluated based on several prediction skills criteria, which revealed that the ANFIS model and SVM model were capable of simulating the IWQIs with reasonable accuracy for both training “determination coefficient (R²)” (R² = 0.99 and 0.97) and testing (R² = 0.97 and 0.76). The presented models’ promising accuracy illustrates their potential for use in IWQI prediction. The findings indicate the potential for ML methods of geographically dispersed hydrogeochemical data, such as ANFIS and SVM, to be used for assessing the GW quality for irrigation. The proposed methodological approach offers a useful tool for identifying the crucial hydrogeochemical components for GW evolution assessment and mitigation measures related to GW management in arid and semi-arid environments.

Irrigation has made a significant contribution to supporting the population’s expanding food demands, as well as promoting economic growth in irrigated regions. The current investigation was carried out in order to estimate the quality of the groundwater for agricultural viability in the Algerian Desert using various water quality indices and geographic information systems (GIS). In addition, support vector machine regression (SVMR) was applied to forecast eight irrigation water quality indices (IWQIs), such as the irrigation water quality index (IWQI), sodium adsorption ratio (SAR), sodium percentage (Na%), soluble sodium percentage (SSP), potential salinity (PS), Kelly index (KI), permeability index (PI), potential salinity (PS), permeability index (PI), and residual sodium carbonate (RSC). Several physicochemical variables, such as temperature (T°), hydrogen ion concentration (pH), total dissolved solids (TDS), electrical conductivity (EC), K⁺, Na²⁺, Mg²⁺, Ca²⁺, Cl⁻, SO₄²⁻, HCO₃⁻, CO₃²⁻, and NO₃⁻, were measured from 45 deep groundwater wells. The hydrochemical facies of the groundwater resources were Ca–Mg–Cl/SO₄ and Na–Cl⁻, which revealed evaporation, reverse ion exchange, and rock–water interaction processes. The IWQI, Na%, SAR, SSP, KI, PS, PI, and RSC showed mean values of 50.78, 43.07, 4.85, 41.78, 0.74, 29.60, 45.65, and −20.44, respectively. For instance, the IWQI for the obtained results indicated that the groundwater samples were categorized into high restriction to moderate restriction for irrigation purposes, which can only be used for plants that are highly salt tolerant. The SVMR model produced robust estimates for eight IWQIs in calibration (Cal.), with R² values varying between 0.90 and 0.97. Furthermore, in validation (Val.), R² values between 0.88 and 0.95 were achieved using the SVMR model, which produced reliable estimates for eight IWQIs. These findings support the feasibility of using IWQIs and SVMR models for the evaluation and management of the groundwater of complex terminal aquifers for irrigation. Finally, the combination of IWQIs, SVMR, and GIS was effective and an applicable technique for interpreting and forecasting the irrigation water quality used in both arid and semi-arid regions.

Due to water shortages and the potential impact of Ethiopia’s new dam on the Nile River, Egypt is seeking new water resources. This study assesses the drinking water quality and associated risks from potentially toxic elements (PTEs) in the Quaternary aquifer (QA) in Beni-Suef, Egypt. Using a comprehensive approach, including PHREEQC geochemical modeling, ionic ratios, multivariate statistical analyses, and the integrated weight water quality index (WQI), the study evaluated the sources of ion contamination and the mixing of Nile water with QA. Various indices, such as the Heavy Metal Pollution Index (HPI), ecological Risk Index (RI), Hazard Quotient (HQ), and Hazard Index (HI), were used to assess ecological and health risks. Monte Carlo simulations provided probabilistic assessments of non-carcinogenic risks for adults and children. GIS tools were used to map risk indices, identifying the most deteriorated locations for sustainable management. The hydrochemical analysis revealed water facies including Na–Cl, Ca–Mg–HCO₃, and mixed types, influenced by carbonate dissolution, ion exchange, and silicate weathering. Contamination sources, particularly in the north and south, were linked to agricultural activities, irrigation return flow, municipal waste, and evaporation. The WQI indicated that 10.14% of samples were extremely poor, 21.7% were poor, 26% were medium, and 42% were good to excellent. PTE contamination varied, with HPI values indicating good water quality in the central area in 53.6% of the collected samples (HPI < 30), but contamination in the north and south is high (HPI > 51). Ecological Risk Index values were below the threshold in 100% of samples (RI < 30), confirming water safety regarding PTEs. In comparison, for hazard index (HI) through oral/ingestion, adults exhibited HI values ranging from 0.012 to 2.16, while children showed higher values, ranging from 0.045 to 8.25. However, the hazard index for oral/ingestion exceeded safe limits in the north and south (HI oral > 1), posing non-carcinogenic risks. Monte Carlo simulations revealed significant risks from oral exposure to manganese (HQ oral > 1), particularly in El-Wasta and El-Fashn, necessitating further treatment and management.

This study developed an integrated hydrogeochemical-machine learning approach for groundwater quality assessment and health risk evaluation in Yemen’s Al Jawf basin. Thirty-three samples from the Quaternary aquifer were analyzed for major ions and trace metals, with multivariate statistics identifying hydrogeochemical patterns and Random Forest (RF) models predicting water quality indices. Hydrogeochemical analysis revealed three water types: Ca-HCO₃ (45%), mixed Ca-Mg-HCO₃-SO₄ (36%), and Na-Cl (19%) facies, controlled by carbonate dissolution, silicate weathering, and anthropogenic inputs. Principal component analysis identified three components explaining 78.5% of variance, with natural mineralization dominating (45.2%). Irrigation water quality index (IWQI) assessment classified 52% of samples as excellent-good, 33% as moderate, and 15% as poor-very poor. Significant samples (63.5-93%) in eastern and northwestern areas showed potential negative impacts on soil fertility based on irrigation indices. Health risk evaluation revealed that 27% of samples exceeded drinking guidelines for Fe and Mn, with children more vulnerable than adults according to hazard index value (HI > 1). Random Forest models achieved high accuracy (R² = 0.94–0.97) predicting multiple indices using 6–8 parameters, reducing monitoring costs by 60%. This represents the first post-conflict comprehensive assessment in Al Jawf basin, providing a replicable framework for sustainable groundwater management in arid regions with limited resources.

Introduction: The groundwater in arid countries such as Egypt represent the main water resources in the desert regions due to the long distance between these regions (oasis) and Nile River. Contamination of these limited water resources with toxic metals threaten the health of individuals in these regions.Methods: The current study integrates isotopic tracers, hydrogeochemistry, geophysical logs, positive matrix factorization (PMF model), and Monte Carlo (MCS) simulation for pollution source apportionment and health risks associated with heavy metals in the Nubian Sandstone aquifer (NSSA).Results and Discussion: The water resource used for drinking purposes (NSSA) is pale meteoric water (non-rechargeable aquifer). Silicate weathering, old trapped sea water, reverse ion exchange evaporation, and dissolution are the dominant mechanisms controlling water chemistry. PMF model showed that the major ions and heavy metals in groundwater of the NSSA originated from four significant sources (anthropogenic activities, dissolution of minerals, iron-bearing minerals, mixing with old trapped seawater, and hydrothermal water). The total risk (HI) oral values highlighted significant non-carcinogenic dangers for adults and children through the oral exposure. At the same time, dermal contact posed a no risk for adults and a high risk for children. Most samples had carcinogenic risk (CR) values higher than the allowed limits (1.0E-4) for metals like Cadmium, chromium, and lead, suggesting carcinogenic effects across all age groups. The Monte Carlo approach-based health concern evaluation model assessed the 5th % CR oral values (child) as 0.00012, 0.0036, and 0.0088 for Cd, Cr, and Pb, respectively, indicating more significant potential dangers to children. Urgent and comprehensive water treatment measures are imperative to mitigate the identified carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic health risks in the study area.

The current study integrates remote sensing, machine learning, and physicochemical parameters to detect hydrodynamic conditions and groundwater quality deterioration in non-rechargeable aquifer systems. Fifty-two water samples were collected from all water resources in Siwa Oasis and analyzed for physical (pH, T°C, EC, and TDS) chemical (SO₄ ^2-, HCO₃ ^-, NO₃ ^-, Cl^-, CO₃ ^2-, SiO₂, Mg²⁺, Na⁺, Ca²⁺, and K⁺), and trace metals (AL, Fe, Sr, Ba, B, and Mn). A digital elevation model supported by machine learning was used to predict the change in the land cover (surface lake area, soil salinity, and water logging) and its effect on water quality deterioration. The groundwater circulation and interaction between the deep aquifer (NSSA) and shallow aquifer (TCA) were detected from the pressure-depth profile of 27 production wells penetrating NSSA. The chemical facies evolution in the aquifer systems were (Ca-Mg-HCO₃) in the first stage (freshwater of NSSA) and changed to (Na-Cl) type in the last stage (brackish water of TCA and springs). Support vector machine successfully predicted the rapid increase of the hypersaline lake area from 22.6 km² to 60.6 km² within 30 years, which deteriorated a large part of the cultivated land, reflecting the environmental risk of over-extraction of water for irrigation of agricultural land by flooding technique and lack of suitable drainage network. The waterlogging in the study was due to a reduction in the infiltration rate (low permeability) of the soil and quaternary aquifer. The cause of this issue could be a complete saturation of agricultural water with chrysotile, calcite, talc, dolomite, gibbsite, chlorite, Ca-montmorillonite, illite, hematite, kaolinite and K-mica (saturation index >1), giving the chance of these minerals to precipitate in the pore spaces of the soil and decrease the infiltration rate. The NSSA is appropriate for irrigation, whereas TCA is inappropriate due to potential salinity and magnesium risks. The best way to manage water resources in Siwa Oasis could be to use underground drip irrigation and combine water with TCA and NSSA.