Tourism makes a significant contribution to the economy of almost every country, so accurate demand forecasting can help in better planning for the government and a range of stakeholders involved in the tourism industry and can aid economic sustainability. Machine learning models, and in particular, deep neural networks, can perform better than traditional forecasting models which depend mainly on past observations (e.g., past data) to forecast future tourist arrivals. However, search intensities indices (SII) indicators have recently been included as a forecasting model, which significantly enhances forecasting accuracy. In this study, we propose a bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) neural network to forecast the arrival of tourists along with SII indicators. The proposed BiLSTM network can remember information from left to right and right to left, which further adds more context for forecasting in memory as compared to a simple long short- term memory (LSTM) network that can remember information only from left to right. A seasonal and trend decomposition using the Loess (STL) approach is utilized to decompose time series tourist arrival data suggested by previous studies. The resultant approach, called STL-BiLSTM, decomposes time series into trend, seasonality, and residual. The trend provides the general direction of the overall data. Seasonality is a regular and predictable pattern which re-occurs at fixed time intervals, and residual is a random fluctuation that is something which cannot be forecast. The proposed BiLSTM network achieves better accuracy than the other methods considered under the current study.

Gaze estimation plays a significant role in understating human behavior and in human–computer interaction. Currently, there are many methods accessible for gaze estimation. However, most approaches need additional hardware for data acquisition which adds an extra cost to gaze tracking. The classic gaze tracking approaches usually require systematic prior knowledge or expertise for practical operations. Moreover, they are fundamentally based on the characteristics of the eye region, utilizing infrared light and iris glint to track the gaze point. It requires high-quality images with particular environmental conditions and another light source. Recent studies on appearance-based gaze estimation have demonstrated the capability of neural networks, especially convolutional neural networks (CNN), to decode gaze information present in eye images and achieved significantly simplified gaze estimation. In this paper, a gaze estimation method that utilizes a CNN for gaze estimation that can be applied to various platforms without additional hardware is presented. An easy and fast data collection method is used for collecting face and eyes images from an unmodified desktop camera. The proposed method registered good results; it proves that it is possible to predict the gaze with reasonable accuracy without any additional tools.

The cancelation of bookings puts a considerable strain on management decisions in the case of the hospitability industry. Booking cancelations restrict precise predictions and are thus a critical tool for revenue management performance. However, in recent times, thanks to the availability of considerable computing power through machine learning (ML) approaches, it has become possible to create more accurate models to predict the cancelation of bookings compared to more traditional methods. Previous studies have used several ML approaches, such as support vector machine (SVM), neural network (NN), and decision tree (DT) models for predicting hotel cancelations. However, they are yet to address the class imbalance problem that exists in the prediction of hotel cancelations. In this study, we have shortened this gap by introducing an oversampling technique to address class imbalance problems, in conjunction with machine learning algorithms to better predict hotel booking cancelations. A combination of the synthetic minority oversampling technique and the edited nearest neighbors (SMOTE-ENN) algorithm is proposed to address the problem of class imbalance. Class imbalance is a general problem that occurs when classifying which class has more examples compared to others. Our research has shown that, after addressing the class imbalance problem, the performance of a machine learning classifier improves significantly.

Wind speed forecasts can boost the quality of wind energy generation by increasing the efficiency and enhancing the economic viability of this variable renewable resource. This work proposes a hybrid model for wind energy capacity for electrical power generation at coastal sites by utilizing wind-related variables’ characteristics. The datasets of three coastal locations of Kuwait validate the proposed method. The hybrid model is a merger of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and predicts one-month-ahead wind speed for wind power density calculation. The neural network starts its performance evaluation with a variable number of hidden-layer neurons to finally identify the optimal ANN topology. Comparisons of statistical indices with both expected and observed test results indicate that the ANN-PSO based hybrid model with the low root-mean-square-error and mean-square-error values outperforms ANN-based trivial models. The prediction model developed in this work is highly accurate with a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of approximately (3-6%) for all the sites.

Gaze estimation is an established research problem in computer vision. It has various applications in real life, from human–computer interactions to health care and virtual reality, making it more viable for the research community. Due to the significant success of deep learning techniques in other computer vision tasks—for example, image classification, object detection, object segmentation, and object tracking—deep learning-based gaze estimation has also received more attention in recent years. This paper uses a convolutional neural network (CNN) for person-specific gaze estimation. The person-specific gaze estimation utilizes a single model trained for one individual user, contrary to the commonly-used generalized models trained on multiple people’s data. We utilized only low-quality images directly collected from a standard desktop webcam, so our method can be applied to any computer system equipped with such a camera without additional hardware requirements. First, we used the web camera to collect a dataset of face and eye images. Then, we tested different combinations of CNN parameters, including the learning and dropout rates. Our findings show that building a person-specific eye-tracking model produces better results with a selection of good hyperparameters when compared to universal models that are trained on multiple users’ data. In particular, we achieved the best results for the left eye with 38.20 MAE (Mean Absolute Error) in pixels, the right eye with 36.01 MAE, both eyes combined with 51.18 MAE, and the whole face with 30.09 MAE, which is equivalent to approximately 1.45 degrees for the left eye, 1.37 degrees for the right eye, 1.98 degrees for both eyes combined, and 1.14 degrees for full-face images.

This study presents a novel hybrid framework combining feature selection, oversampling, and machine learning (ML) to improve the prediction performance of vehicle insurance. The framework addresses the class imbalance problem in binary classification tasks by employing principal component analysis for feature selection, the synthetic minority oversampling technique for oversampling, and the random forest ML classifier for prediction. The results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid framework outperforms the conventional approach and achieves better accuracy. The purpose of this study is to provide insurance managers and practitioners with novel insights into how to improve prediction accuracy and decrease financial risks for the insurance industry.