Urban traffic passenger flows prediction is practically important to facilitate many real applications including transportation management and public safety. Recently, deep learning based approaches are proposed to learn the spatio-temporal characteristics of the traffic passenger flows. However, it is still very challenging to handle some complex factors such as hybrid transportation lines, mixed traffic, transfer stations, and some extreme weathers. Considering the multi-channel and irregularity properties of urban traffic passenger flows in different transportation lines, a more efficient and fine-grained deep spatio-temporal feature learning model is necessary. In this paper, we propose a deep irregular convolutional residual LSTM network model called DST-ICRL for urban traffic passenger flows prediction. We first model the passenger flows among different traffic lines in a transportation network into multi-channel matrices analogous to the RGB pixel matrices of an image. Then, we propose a deep learning framework that integrates irregular convolutional residential network and LSTM units to learn the spatial-temporal feature representations. To fully utilize the historical passenger flows, we sample both the short-term and long-term historical traffic data, which can capture the periodicity and trend of the traffic passenger flows. In addition, we also fuse other external factors further to facilitate a real-time prediction. We conduct extensive experiments on different types of traffic passenger flows datasets including subway, taxi and bus flows in Beijing as well as bike flows in New York. The results show that the proposed DST-ICRL significantly outperforms both traditional and deep learning based urban traffic passenger flows prediction methods.
15 November 2018 in IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
Accurate metro ridership prediction can guide passengers in efficiently selecting their departure time and transferring from station to station. An increasing number of deep learning algorithms are being utilized to forecast metro ridership due to the development of computational intelligence. However, limited efforts have been exerted to consider spatiotemporal features, which are important in forecasting ridership through deep learning methods, in large-scale metro networks. To fill this gap, this paper proposes a parallel architecture comprising convolutional neural network (CNN) and bi-directional long short-term memory network (BLSTM) to extract spatial and temporal features, respectively. Metro ridership data are transformed into ridership images and time series. Spatial features can be learned from ridership image data by using CNN, which demonstrates favorable performance in video detection. Time series data are input into the BLSTM which considers the historical and future impacts of ridership in temporal feature extraction. The two networks are concatenated in parallel and prevented from interfering with each other. Joint spatiotemporal features are fed into a fully connected network for metro ridership prediction. The Beijing metro network is used to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed algorithm. The proposed model outperforms traditional statistical models, deep learning architectures, and sequential structures, and is suitable for ridership prediction in large-scale metro networks. Metro authorities can thus effectively allocate limited resources to overcrowded areas for service improvement.
As a crucial component in intelligent transportation systems, traffic flow prediction has recently attracted widespread research interest in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) with the increasing availability of massive traffic mobility data. Its key challenge lies in how to integrate diverse factors (such as temporal rules and spatial dependencies) to infer the evolution trend of traffic flow. To address this problem, we propose a unified neural network called Attentive Traffic Flow Machine (ATFM), which can effectively learn the spatial-temporal feature representations of traffic flow with an attention mechanism. In particular, our ATFM is composed of two progressive Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM [1]) units connected with a convolutional layer. Specifically, the first ConvLSTM unit takes normal traffic flow features as input and generates a hidden state at each time-step, which is further fed into the connected convolutional layer for spatial attention map inference. The second ConvLSTM unit aims at learning the dynamic spatial-temporal representations from the attentionally weighted traffic flow features. Further, we develop two deep learning frameworks based on ATFM to predict citywide short-term/long-term traffic flow by adaptively incorporating the sequential and periodic data as well as other external influences. Extensive experiments on two standard benchmarks well demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method for traffic flow prediction. Moreover, to verify the generalization of our method, we also apply the customized framework to forecast the passenger pickup/dropoff demands in traffic prediction and show its superior performance. Our code and data are available at https://github.com/liulingbo918/ATFM.
17 November 2021 in IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering
Multivariate time series anomaly detection has great potentials in many practical applications. Extreme unbalanced training set and noise interference make it challenging to accurately capture the distribution of normal data and then detect anomalies. Existing AutoEncoder(AE)-based approaches are lack of effective regularization method specially designed for anomaly detection tasks thus easily overfitting while Generative Adversarial Network(GAN)-based approaches are mostly trained under the hypothesis of pollution-free training set, which means the training set is all composed of normal samples and that is hard to satisfy in practice. To tackle these problems, in this paper we propose a GAN based anomaly detection method for multivariate time series named FGANomaly (letter F is for Filter). The core idea is to filter possible anomalous samples with pseudo-labels before training the discriminator thus to capture the distribution of normal data as precise as possible. In addition, we design a novel training objective for the generator, which leads the generator to concentrate more on plausible normal data and ignore anomalies. We conducted comprehensive experiments on four public datasets, and the experimental results show the superiority of our method over baselines in both performance and robustness.
24 January 2020 in IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems